UFC 317: Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano Prediction for Tomorrow, 06/28/25
UFC 317: Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano Pickswise Expert Predictions
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 317 will see Beneil Dariush take on Renato Moicano. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Dariush enters this fight with an MMA record of 22-6-1 and 16-6-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.78 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Dariush absorbs 2.65 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 1.90 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 34% and a takedown defense of 80%.
Moicano enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-6-1 and 12-6 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.36 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Moicano is absorbing 3.55 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.82 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 44% and a takedown defense of 71%.
This fight looks to be evenly matched, with Moicano set as the small favorite. Moicano has the advantage in striking volume, while Dariush has a small advantage in grappling. Despite this advantage, Dariush has lost each of his last two UFC fights. Therefore, given his recent inconsistencies, backing Moicano to win will be our best bet.
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Matthew Lowrimore
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