UFC Fight Night 265: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Dan Hooker Prediction for Saturday, 11/22/25

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 265 will see Arman Tsarukyan take on Dan Hooker. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Tsaurkyan enters this fight with an MMA record of 22-3 and 9-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.79 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Tsaurkyan absorbs 1.84 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling is just as strong, averaging 3.25 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 37% and a takedown defense of 75%.

Hooker enters this fight with an MMA record of 24-12 and 14-8 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.03 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Hooker is absorbing 4.72 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling, however, has not been impressive, averaging just 0.73 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 34% and a takedown defense of 78%.

Tsarukyan is the overwhelming favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking at the possible method of victory. He has won 14 times in his MMA career by finish, which includes 2 of his last 3 UFC fights.

Hooker, on the other hand, has been inconsistent recently, going 4-4 over his last 8 UFC fights, which includes three losses by finish. Given this, backing Tsarukyan to win by finish will be our best bet.