UFC Fight Night 266: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault Prediction for Saturday, 02/07/26

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 266 will see Michal Oleksiejczuk take on Marc-Andre Barriault. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Oleksiejczuk comes into this fight with an MMA record of 21-9 and 9-7 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.34 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Oleksiejczuk absorbs 4.41 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling is decent, averaging 1.02 takedowns per 15 minutes. With that, he has a takedown accuracy of 43% and a takedown defense of 52%.

Barriault enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-10 and 6-9 in the UFC. He averages 5.70 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. Barriault absorbs 5.63 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling has overall been poor, averaging 0.37 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 28% and a takedown defense of 68%.

Oleksiejczuk is the significant favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking at a rounds prop. Oleksiejczuk has seen 7 of his last 9 UFC fights end in the first round, while Barriault has seen 5 of his last 10 fights do the same. Therefore, based on the fact that both fighters have been able to finish their fights quickly, backing this fight to end in the first round will be our lean.