UFC Fight Night 267: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic Predictions for Today, 02/21/26

The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 267 will see Geoff Neal take on Uros Medic. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Neal enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-7 and 9-5 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.05 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Neal absorbs 5.48 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging just 0.54 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 45% and a takedown defense of 87%

Medic enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-3 and 7-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.53 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. Medic is absorbing 3.46 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging 0.35 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 55%.

Neal is the overwhelming favorite in this fight; however, Medic looks to be the best betting option. Medic is 3-1 over his last 4 UFC fights, while Neal is 1-3 over the same stretch. Further, Medic has the advantage in striking volume and absorbs far less damage compared to Neal. For that reason, backing Medic to pull off the upset will be our best bet.