UFC Fight Night 268: Edgar Chairez vs. Felipe Bunes Prediction for Saturday, 02/28/26

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 268 will see Edgar Chairez take on Felipe Bunes. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Chairez enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-6 and 2-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.44 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Chairez is absorbing 5.08 strikes and has a striking defense of 42%. His grappling has been nonexistent; however, Chairez is averaging 1.7 submission attempts every 15 minutes. Further, he has a takedown defense of just 33%.

Bunes enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-8 and 1-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.93 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Bunes absorbs 4.66 strikes and has a striking defense of 44%. His grappling has also been decent, averaging 1.13 takedowns every 15 minutes and 2.3 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 22% and a takedown defense of 40%.

Chairez is the clear favorite in this fight; therefore, we will look for the fight to end inside the distance. Bunes has seen 14 of his 22 career MMA fights end inside the distance, which includes 2 of his last 3 UFC fights. Chairez, on the other hand, has seen 14 of his 18 MMA fights end inside the distance, which also includes 2 of his last 3 UFC fights. Therefore, given that both fighters have had a high finish rate over the course of their careers, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our lean.