UFC Fight Night 273: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott Predictions for Saturday, 04/18/26

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 273 will see Mike Malott take on Gilbert Burns. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Malott enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-2-1 and 7-1 in the UFC. He averages 3.93 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Malott is absorbing 3.06 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 1.88 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 14%.

Burns comes into this fight with an MMA record of 22-9 and 15-9 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.15 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Burns is absorbing 3.64 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling has also been solid throughout this UFC career, averaging 2.12 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 37% and a takedown defense of 53%.

Malott is the heavy favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking at his method of victory. Malott has won 5 times by KO/TKO in his MMA career, including 2 times in the UFC. Burns, on the other hand, has lost 4 UFC fights in a row, with 2 coming by finish. He has a total of 4 losses in his career by finish, all of which have come by KO/TKO. For that reason, backing Malott to win by KO/TKO is our best bet.