UFC Fight Night 274: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal Prediction

UFC Fight Night 274: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal Prediction for Today, 04/25/26

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UFC Fight Night 274: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal Pickswise Expert Predictions

Money Line Pick
Sterling Win(+110)

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 274 will see Aljamain Sterling take on Youssef Zalal. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Sterling enters this fight with an MMA record of 25-5 and 17-5 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.45 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. Sterling absorbs 2.21 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling is also strong, averaging 2.45 takedowns every 15 minutes. Sterling has a takedown accuracy of 30% and a takedown defense of 44%.

Zalal enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-5-1 and 8-3-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.03 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Zalal is absorbing 1.78 strikes and has a striking defense of 66%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.17 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.4 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 31% and a takedown defense of 59%.

While Zalal is the small favorite in this fight, Sterling looks to be the best betting option. Sterling has gone 11-2 over his last 13 UFC fights, only losing to Sean O’Malley and Movsar Evloev during this stretch. Zalal, on the other hand, has been equally impressive, going 5-0 in his last 5 UFC fights. That being said, Sterling has the edge in both striking volume and grappling. He has also faced tough opponents overall and has held a title in his career. Because Sterling looks to have been more tested, backing Sterling to win is our best bet.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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