UFC Fight Night 274: Marcus Buchecha vs. Ryan Spann Prediction for Saturday, 04/25/26

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 274 will see Marcus Buchecha take on Ryan Spann. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Buchecha enters this fight with an MMA record of 5-2-1 and 0-1-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 1.70 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Buchecha absorbs 2.17 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.00 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 16%.

Spann enters this fight with an MMA record of 23-11 and 10-7 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.19 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 39%. Spann absorbs 4.14 strikes and has a striking defense of 43%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.30 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.8 submission attempts during the same period. Spann has a takedown accuracy of 34% and a takedown defense of 52%.

Buchecha is the clear favorite; however, given his rough start to the UFC, a total rounds prop looks to be the best betting option. Spann has seen 3 of his last 5 UFC fights go over 1.5 total rounds, while Buchecha has seen both of his UFC fights do the same. Given this, backing over 1.5 total rounds will be our lean.