UFC on ABC 8: Muhammad Naimov vs. Bogdan Grad Prediction for Tomorrow, 06/21/25

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC on ABC 8 will see Muhammad Naimov take on Bogdan Grad. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Naimov enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-3 and 4-2 in the UFC. He averages 2.94 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. Naimov absorbs 3.77 strikes and has a striking defense of 44%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 1.85 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 36% and a takedown defense of 66%.

Grad enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-2 and 2-1 in the UFC. He averages 5.83 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. Grad absorbs 7.84 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has been elite in the UFC, averaging 3.50 takedowns every 15 minutes. Grad has a takedown accuracy of 40% and a takedown defense of 100%.

Naimov is the clear favorite in the fight; therefore, we will be looking for this fight to go over 1.5 rounds. Grad has seen 2 of his 3 UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Naimov has seen 5 of his 6 UFC fights do the same. Because both fighters have been able to last at least a few rounds in most of their fights, backing this fight to go over 1.5 rounds will be our lean.