UFC on ESPN 70: Vitor Petrino vs. Austen Lane Prediction for Today, 07/12/25

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 70 will see Vitor Petrino take on Austen Lane. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Petrino enters this fight with an MMA record of 11-2 and 5-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.83 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Petrino is absorbing 2.71 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 3.24 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 57% and a takedown defense of 71%.

Lane enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-6 and 2-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.98 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Lane is absorbing 2.41 strikes and has a striking defense of 40%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 1.70 takedowns every 15 minutes. Lane has a takedown accuracy of 28% and his takedown defense is 50%.

Petrino is one of the biggest favorites on this card; therefore, we will be targeting this fight to go under 1.5 total rounds. Lane has seen 5 of his 6 UFC fights go under 1.5 rounds, while Petrino has seen 3 of his 7 UFC fights do the same. Given the high finish rate for both fighters, backing under 1.5 total rounds will be our lean.