NBA Picks

The market is giving us a short home ‘dog with Memphis, but in reality this is a game that can go either way. Philadelphia sits at 16–14, Memphis at 15–17, so there’s no massive performance gap to account for. That makes grabbing the home dog at plus money the prudent play before we go any further.

The Grizzlies’ profile is heavily skewed by the early-season stretch without Morant—recent form has been much stronger than the full-season record suggests. In other words, this isn’t the same Memphis team we saw back in November. But because the Grizzlies stubbed their toe against the Wizards, the market is quick to react and think otherwise. That allows us to buy low on Memphis who will also get the benefit of a raucous FedEx Forum crowd behind them. The total is sitting in the low 230’s, which hints at a possession-heavy game and plenty of volatility. In such an environment, taking the home dog at a plus price is the smart option. It can only be Memphis or nothing for this bettor.

76ers vs Grizzlies prediction: Grizzlies ML (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Boston Celtics enter this matchup as one of the Eastern Conference’s most complete teams, combining efficient offense with strong defensive metrics. Boston is averaging roughly 116 points per game while holding opponents near 110, driven by elite perimeter shooting and lineup versatility. Jaylen Brown continues to lead the scoring load as he goes for his franchise record 10th game in a row with 30+ points tonight. Although the Celtics have been strong on the road overall, they’ve shown occasional lapses defending in transition and against high tempo offenses, especially when their 3-point shooting cools. That vulnerability can keep opponents within striking distance even when Boston controls long stretches of play.

The Utah Jazz, while struggling in the standings, are far more competitive than their record suggests, particularly at home. Utah ranks among the league’s top offensive teams at over 120 points per game, powered by Lauri Markkanen’s scoring efficiency and a system built around pace and spacing. Defensive issues remain a major concern — the Jazz allow over 127 points per game, worst in the NBA — but that same fast pace often leads to volatile game scripts and inflated spreads. Utah has already shown it can compete with Boston, edging the Celtics earlier this season in a low scoring, tightly contested matchup. With home court energy, offensive firepower, and a willingness to trade baskets, the Jazz are capable of keeping this game closer than expected. Even if Boston’s depth and talent ultimately prevail, the number feels generous.

Celtics vs Jazz prediction: Jazz +8.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to that number.

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Detroit is 24–8 with a top-tier offense built around Cade Cunningham’s playmaking and Jalen Duren’s hyper-efficient finishing at the rim. Los Angeles counters with Luka Dončić, who leads the league in scoring at 33.7 points per game, plus LeBron James still playing at an All-Star level. That’s a lot of offensive firepower on both sides of the floor.

Pistons games have gone over in 17 of 30 contests, while Lakers games have sailed past the total in 19 of 30. This is pivotal because defensively, neither side is airtight. Detroit’s youth shows in transition and rotation lapses; the Lakers, meanwhile, lean heavily on outscoring opponents rather than consistently getting stops, especially when Dončić is asked to carry such a heavy offensive load. Expect both teams to target mismatches early and pushing tempo after misses. This has all the makings of a game that can easily go over and be characterized by a series of flurries and runs. Clearing 231 is not a tall order on Tuedsay.

Pistons vs Lakers prediction: Over 231 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Kings didn’t have to travel a lot after their last game, which was a 125-101 loss to the Lakers. Now they face the other team in LA the Clippers, as they try to win just their 4th game in 18 outings on the road. It’s always fun to watch Russell Westbrook go after his former teams, but I’m afraid that’s the only highlight we’re seeing from Kings games these days. This team has been decimated with injuries, with Zach LaVine, Keegan Murray and Domantas Sabonis all being out. But even at full strength chemistry has been a major problem and it won’t be too long until major moves are made.

The same could be said about the Clippers who have vastly underperformed this season, but unlike the Kings they are starting to wake up. I just hope it’s not too late for Kawhi Leonard and his teammates. LA just won its 4th game in a row, they’ve taken down the Lakers, Rockets, Blazers and Pistons in a span of just 8 days. Kawhi just dropped a career high 55 points, I don’t think even the most optimistic Clipper fan saw this coming. The injury to Ivica Zubac is proving to be a blessing in disguise. His replacement Brook Lopez has the ability to stretch the floor with his three-point shooting and that’s exactly what’s transformed this Clipper team into a winner all of a sudden.

For a team that’s just 10-21 SU on the season, covering a double-digit spread might sound big, but the way these Clippers have played lately I’m more than happy to back them here. All 4 wins during this streak have been by double-digits, the good run should continue vs a Kings team that’s only 1-6 SU in 7 road games. Back LA to win by margin in this one.

Kings vs Clippers prediction: Clippers -10 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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