NBA Picks

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Charlotte Hornets meet again in a matchup that has consistently produced offense this season. Cleveland enters averaging nearly 120 points per game, driven by Donovan Mitchell’s elite shot creation and scoring punch at roughly 29 points per night. With Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen contributing efficiently around the rim and in transition, the Cavs are at their best when games open up and possessions stack quickly. Their previous meetings with Charlotte have reflected that style, including a 139-132 Cavs win that easily cleared the total.

Charlotte is equally capable of keeping pace, averaging over 116 points per game and leaning into a fast tempo with balanced scoring. Miles Bridges and rookie Kon Knueppel hover around 19 points per game, while LaMelo Ball’s playmaking continues to fuel early offense and quick looks from the perimeter. The Hornets have shown little hesitation to run against stronger opponents, and their defensive lapses often push games toward shootout territory. With both teams comfortable playing fast, recent head to heads trending high, and offensive efficiency outweighing defensive consistency on both sides, this matchup sets up well for another up tempo, high scoring contest.

Cavaliers vs Hornets Prediction: Over 236.0 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 236.5

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For the 3rd time this season the Nets and Knicks clash in the all-New York affair, with the road team hoping to avoid a 3rd consecutive defeat. Brooklyn got outplayed in both meetings by double-digits in November, but with the Knicks struggling right now, is there a chance they pull one back? MPJ and company haven’t been the best of road teams in terms of outright wins, winning just 6 of 19 games, but their ATS record stands at a much better 9-10 in those 19 games played. What should give this team hope ahead of Wednesday’s game at MSG is their three-point shooting. They’ve connected on 15 threes in 4 consecutive outings.

What was once a promising start to a season has now become a nightmare for most Knicks fans. Their team has really struggled ever since winning the Emirates NBA Cup. Over the past 15 games the Knicks are just 5-10 SU, in line with the Kings, Jazz and Wizards which is far below expectations. This recent poor run of play has sparked speculation that Karl Anthony-Towns could be traded, New York better start turning things around if they intend on keeping this core group together. The good news ahead of Wednesday’s game is that the health situation has improved a lot, with not a single player on the injury report.

With four consecutive defeats and back-to-back games with under 100 points scored, I have my doubts about the Knicks here. As bad as Brooklyn has been all year long, their defense has been able to contain opponents for stretches this year. The Knicks probably win it, but I’ll take the Nets and the big number against a floundering Knicks team.

Nets vs Knicks prediction: Nets +11 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Wednesday sees the Pacers head to TD Garden looking for only their 3rd road win of the season, taking on a Celtics team coming off a heartbreaking loss to Detroit. Indy did win the most recent meeting between the two teams, about a week ago. Since then they’ve won just once in 4 outings, but without any pressure whatsoever on them, I feel like they can play a free flowing offensive game here without worrying too much about the outcome. They’ve done well against Boston in terms of covering the spread, doing so 9 times in 12 meetings.

The Cs had their chances in their most recent game against the Pistons, but ultimately fell on the road by a point. Jaylen Brown had an opportunity to win it at the buzzer, but couldn’t deliver. Despite the loss Boston remains the 2nd best team in the East, but interestingly enough they’ve won more games on the road than at home this season. Jaylen Brown is on the injury report ahead of this game, listed as day-to-day with a hamstring issue. On paper the Pacers are a relatively weak opponent, so I wouldn’t rule out the Celtics resting him here.

Boston is the obvious pick here, but only 1 of the 3 meetings between the two sides has been decided by double-digits. With a healthy and motivated Siakam, plus a consistent three-ball, I think the Pacers can hang with the Celtics here, and maybe even push Boston to the brink.

Pacers vs Celtics prediction: Pacers +10.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Atlanta Hawks travel to Memphis in a matchup between two teams searching for consistency as the season progresses. Atlanta’s offense is built around ball movement, ranking among the league leaders in assists per game, with Jalen Johnson playing a key role as a versatile facilitator and scorer. While the Hawks have struggled to string together wins recently, their ability to generate quality looks in the half court has kept them competitive, especially against teams that have difficulty defending multiple creators.

Memphis continues to deal with roster instability due to injuries, which has limited both depth and defensive cohesion. Jaren Jackson Jr. remains the primary scoring option, but without consistent perimeter containment, the Grizzlies have been vulnerable to teams that move the ball well. Atlanta’s passing heavy approach and balanced scoring profile line up favorably in this spot, particularly in what projects as a close, back and forth game. With the matchup looking closer than the line suggests, the Hawks don’t offer a ton of value, but the short line suggests a possible trap line for Memphis. Let’s roll with Atlanta.

Hawks vs Grizzlies Prediction: Hawks +1.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to Hawks ML (-110).

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The Oklahoma City Thunder have won 6 of their last 7 games heading into a road date with the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night. Oklahoma City endured a bit of a swoon from mid-December through early January, but it is back on track and playing like the defending NBA champion. The Thunder have been getting the job done with defense. They have held 3 of their last 4 opponents to 104 points or fewer, including 2 under the century mark during this stretch. Now OKC faces one of the lowest-scoring teams in the association. As such, my Thunder vs Bucks pick is Under 226.5.

Milwaukee is averaging just 112.4 points per game — third fewest in the Eastern Conference and tied for fifth fewest in the entire league. The Bucks have scored 106 points or fewer in 4 of their last 5 outings; they have not posted more than 115 points since January 2. Adding insult to injury, the home team could be without Myles Turner (12.2 ppg) on Wednesday; he is questionable due to an ankle injury. The pace in Wednesday’s contest probably won’t be too quick. Milwaukee ranks #24 in the NBA in pace of play at 102.0 possessions per game. As a massive underdog against the best team in the league, the Bucks will be especially content to shorten the game as much as possible. OKC might oblige, as it is nothing notable in terms of pace (right in the middle of the pack at #15). I’m rolling with the under.

Thunder vs Bucks prediction: Under 226.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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At first glance, this number looks quite soft considering the contrasting forms of both teams and their overall records against the spread. Here are the numbers – The Raps are 26-19 SU and 23-22 ATS. The Kings? An absolute liability – 12-32 overall and a menial 18-25-1 against the number. Thus, the number appears soft here as mentioned but when we factor in the records, the Kings are likely taking back an inflated number because their overall market perception is low and the only way they would get a look is if they were posted at an affable price. Translation – the Kings under normal circumstances would likely be sitting inside a three-pointer here as an underdog. This means that they are live.

What’s intriguing most of all is that there are a plethora of reasons to fade Sacramento, they are 9-15 SU at home, and Toronto plays winning basketball on the road. The Kings have lost two straight while the Raptors just put up over 140 against Golden State and whacked them on their own floor. So now, we have a team prone to an overreaction who looks formidable laying a short number to a side that has no relevancy, at all. We can break down the X’s and O’s ,but it’s not necessary. When a team looks too easy like the Raptors do here, it’s a stark warning that things are not as they appear. Sacramento has shown it can level up at moments this season. Look no further than when the Kings handled the Knicks and Lakers at home, just over a week ago. That iteration of Sacramento is taking the court tonight and the oddsmakers are tipping their hand. Kings outright.

Raptors vs Kings prediction: Kings ML (+160) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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