NBA Picks

Expert NBA picks throughout the 2024/25 season. We crunch the numbers, analyze the data, and provide free NBA expert picks every day. You can trust our experienced NBA handicappers to find all the key betting trends and make NBA picks you can trust all season long.

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Bet Type
Experts
Confidence Rating
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
GS
Today
TNT
HOU
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
Money Line PickBest Bet
HOU Rockets Win(-185)

Game 4 of this series was the highest scoring one of this series so far with the two teams tallying 215 points total. But don’t let that fool you, the intensity on both ends was the highest it’s been in the 4 games played so far. Jimmy Butler returned from his injury and carried the Warriors with 27 points and 6 assists, while Brandin Podziemski stepped up and helped with 26 as Stephen Curry struggled to get shots up as the Rockets defense centered around slowing him down. Wednesday’s game will see the Warriors try to close this series with another win in Houston and naturally it’ll be the toughest game of the series yet.

Playing Alperen Sengun and Steven Adams at the same time for extended minutes was a stroke of genius from Ime Udoka on Monday, the Rockets were in it until the very end when they once again crumbled under the pressure. Free throw shooting is something that’ll need to be addressed ahead of Game 5, they shot just 19 for 31 from the charity stripe which ultimately cost them the game. Turnovers were also a factor with 13 committed, compared to just 8 by the Warriors. But it all comes down to Jalen Green and how he performs. For the 3rd time in this series he finished scoring single digit points, he’s now done that 6 times over his last 7 games overall. What’s even more concerning is the fact that he attempted only 8 shots total, his confidence is just gone at this point.

Wednesday’s game is a do-or-die scenario for the Rockets, they need their crowd to carry them in order to get this thing back to San Francisco. At 29-12 SU they were one of the better home teams during the regular season, in their last 13 games at Toyota Center they’ve lost only 3 times. Yes, the Warriors have had their number so far, but with the stakes being so high that’ll bring out the best out of this young team. Also, Jimmy Butler logged 40 mins total just days after falling on his back, he might not have enough time to recover here. I’ll give the Rockets the benefit of the doubt and back them to win and force Game 6.

Warriors vs Rockets Game 5 prediction: Rockets ML (-190) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Same Game Parlay
Money Line
HOU Rockets Win
Player Points
J. Green (HOU) - 25+ pts

Houston Rockets ML over Golden State Warriors (-180)

Wednesday’s game will see the Warriors try to close out this series with another win in Houston and naturally it’ll be the toughest game yet. Free-throw shooting is something that’ll need to be addressed ahead of Game 5 if you’re the Rockets, as they shot just 19 for 31 from the charity stripe last time, which ultimately cost them the game. Turnovers were also a factor with 13 committed, compared to just 8 by the Warriors. Wednesday’s game is a do-or-die scenario for the Rockets and they need their crowd to carry them in order to get this thing back to San Francisco.

At 29-12, Houston was one of the better home teams during the regular season, and in their last 13 games at Toyota Center they’ve lost only 3 times. Yes, the Warriors have had the Rockets’ number so far, but with the stakes being so high that should bring out the best out of this young team. Also, Jimmy Butler logged 40 minutes just days after falling on his back, and he might not have had enough time to recover. I’ll give the Rockets the benefit of the doubt and back them to win and force a Game 6.

Jalen Green to score 25+ points (+560)

Jalen Green has had a poor postseason campaign so far. But, that’s the good thing about the NBA Playoffs — he can have one good game and everything that happened before will be forgotten. What disappointed me the most in his Game 4 performance was the 8 field goals attempted. That number should be a lot higher for a 23-year-old who is experiencing the postseason for the first time. Head coach Ime Udoka has to make adjustments to put Green in a position to succeed, otherwise the Rockets will likely be going home after Game 5.

We saw Udoka play Alperen Sengun and Steven Adams for extended minutes together in Game 4, which had Houston in the game until the very end, so I’m sure the head coach has a couple more tricks up his sleeve to get the Rockets’ best player going here. Green went nuts in Game 2 of the series when he scored 38 points, including 8 threes, and that was the only game the Rockets have won in this series so far. The talented youngster is no stranger to high-scoring games, as he scored 20+ points in 48 regular-season games. I’ve not yet given up hope on him. If Green gets it going early here, I think he can string together a great game.

Filip Tomic
Golden State Warriors

Vote on who will win!

Houston Rockets
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
MIN
Today
TNT
LAL
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
Point Spread Pick
LA Lakers -5.5(-110)

Who thought we’d be here in this situation? Game 5 with the Wolves up 3-1. Minnesota’s Anthony Edwards has been a standout performer, averaging 30.8 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 7.7 assists per game in the series. His 43-point effort in Game 4, including 16 points in the fourth quarter, was instrumental in the Timberwolves’ comeback victory. The team’s resurgence has been bolstered by Julius Randle’s return from injury, contributing to a 20-5 record since early March. 

The Lakers, led by Luka Doncic and LeBron James, have faced challenges in closing games, being outscored 105-69 in fourth quarters throughout the series. Despite strong individual performances, including Doncic’s 38 points in Game 4, the team has struggled with late-game execution and shooting efficiency. Head coach JJ Redick emphasized the need for a complete 48-minute performance to extend their season. There’s little doubt in my mind that the Lakers will win tonight, so let’s lay the number with Los Angeles. 

Timberwolves vs Lakers Game 5 prediction: Lakers -5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -6

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Justin Ziolkowski
Same Game Parlay
Money Line
MIN Timberwolves Win
Player Points
J. Randle (MIN) - Over 19.5 pts
Player Threes Made
A. Reaves (LAL) - Over 2.5 threes

Minnesota Timberwolves ML over LA Lakers (+190)

The Timberwolves may be the #6 seed in the West, but it is no surprise that they are on the verge of ousting the 3rd-seeded Lakers. They are much better than #6 – and would have been if not for some injuries during the regular season. Well, Randle, Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert are all healthy at the right time and it has paid off with 3 victories through the first 4 games of this series. The all-important 4th win may come sooner rather than later.

Minnesota already proved it can win inside Crypto.com Arena, having walloped Los Angeles 117-95 in Game 1. Now the T-Wolves have a ton of momentum after taking both of the games that were played at home – including a 116-113 thriller on Sunday that has the Lakers reeling. The pressure is all on LA. Even if the Timberwolves lose, they would have a home game to close out the series. They might not even need it.

Julius Randle over 19.5 points (-130)

The Lakers lost their best low-post defender when they traded Anthony Davis for Luka Doncic. That has opened things up nicely in the paint for Randle, who has been productive so far during this season and could be in line for an especially big performance on Wednesday. With Edwards having gone wild in Game 4, Los Angeles is going to do everything in its power to make someone else beat them this time around. I expect the home team to send as much defensive artillery in Ant Man’s direction as possible.

Don’t be surprised if Randle is the beneficiary. The former Kentucky standout has scored 27, 22 and 25 points in the last 3 games and he forked up 22 attempts from the floor on Sunday. Dating back to the regular season, he has pinned at least 21 points on the Lakers in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matchups.

Austin Reaves over 2.5 three-pointers made (-160)

Backing Reaves to stink a trio of three-pointers certainly isn’t crippling for a wager on Minnesota’s money line. After all, that is only 9 points we are talking about – hardly consequential in the grand scheme of things. And it’s a mark Reaves should hit without much trouble. The Oklahoma product has drained at least 3 shots from the land of plenty in 8 of his last 9 games and in 10 of his last 12. He has successfully dialed long distance 10 times over the past 2 contests. Let’s put our chips on Reaves staying hot – even if his team gets eliminated.

Ricky Dimon
Minnesota Timberwolves

Vote on who will cover the spread!

Los Angeles Lakers
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
NYK
Tomorrow
TNT
DET
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
Money Line Pick
DET Pistons Win(-135)

The Knicks missed out on a chance to advance from this series on Tuesday after they fell at home 106-103 to the Pistons. For some odd reasons they just cannot beat this team at Madison Square Garden, they’ll have their 2nd series clinching opportunity on Thursday as they return to the crime scene at Little Caesars Arena. We all remember the controversy in which Game 4 ended, all the pressure is now on New York as they look to close this thing out. Jalen Brunson and Josh Hart both suffered minor knocks towards the end of Tuesday’s game, which means neither of them will be at 100% here. However, the good news for the Knicks is that they’ve won in 10 of their last 11 visits to Detroit.

The Pistons have led the Knicks in the 4th quarter of every single game of this series, but unlike in previous games they made sure they didn’t let that lead slip away. Cade Cunningham came up big in crunch time, Ausar Thompson played his best postseason game ever with 22 points and veteran forward Tobias Harris had 17 and 8 rebounds while logging a team high 43 points. And that’s exactly the approach the Pistons need to have going into Game 5. Having played each other 9 times already this year, these two teams know each other pretty well, so it’s hard to expect any significant tactical changes from either coach.

Game 6 will be all about energy and I expect the Pistons to have plenty of that after they gave themselves new life with Tuesday’s win. Little Caesars Arena was rocking in Games 3 and 4, the Pistons lost those two by a combined 3 points. This time it’ll be different. Emotions will run high, the crowd will carry them and I am convinced they’ll force a Game 7 here.

Knicks vs Pistons Game 6 prediction: Pistons ML (-135) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Filip Tomic
New York Knicks

Vote on who will win!

Detroit Pistons
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
DEN
Tomorrow
TNT
LAC
Los Angeles Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
Game Totals Pick
Over 211.0(-110)

The Denver Nuggets will look to close out a back-and-forth Western Conference first-round playoff series against the Los Angeles Clippers when this #4 vs #5 matchup continues at the Intuit Dome in Denver on Thursday night. The game total for the series opener was listed at 224, so when you see it 13 points lower at this stage you know it is a prime opportunity to back the over. There are numbers to support such an assertion, too, so my Nuggets vs Clippers pick is Over 211.

Yes, Denver L.A. waged some low-scoring battles in Game 2, Game 3 and Game 4. However, there is more than enough evidence to indicate that high-octane shootouts can develop when these 2 teams tangle. Their 4 regular-season encounters produced 213, 248, 218 and 229 points, while Game 5 on Tuesday finished with 246 points. Individually speaking, Nuggets guard Jamal Murray has scored at least 21 points 4 times in this series, including a 43-point explosion on Tuesday. Forward Aaron Gordon has delivered at least 14 points on all 5 occasions, including performances of 25 and 23 points. For the Clippers, you have to think James Harden will get more involved in this elimination situation. In the first 3 games (2 wins and an overtime loss), Harden went 24-for-53 from the floor and 11-for-24 from 3-point range; in the last 2 losses he attempted just 20 total shots and only 4 from deep.

Nuggets vs Clippers prediction: Over 211 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 212.5.

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Ricky Dimon
Denver Nuggets

Vote on who will win!

Los Angeles Clippers

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Free NBA Money Line Picks

NBA Money line picks are the simplest way to make a pick or have a wager on an NBA basketball match. An NBA money line pick is picking which team you think will win the match. With no ties in the NBA, the outcomes are win or lose, right or wrong.

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NBA over/under picks are arguably the most exhilarating of all the North American sports. On any given night in the NBA, you might see an 95-87 contest in one game compared to a 145-142 score in another. NBA totals picks can be legitimately won or lost with one bad – or great – quarter.

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Pickswise is the home of the best free basketball picks today, you can even check out our selections for the Best NBA Bets right now. Our expert basketball handicappers break down today’s matches to find you the best free basketball picks, We’ve also got expert advice for NBA Futures and how to bet on the NBA. A good basketball pick is a well-researched and fully informed one. Our experts crunch all the latest NBA News, team and player statistics, trends, history and rely upon decades of handicapping experience ahead of making each basketball pick.

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At Pickswise we work hard to bring you the best NBA picks in the market, on all bet types. Our expert handicappers don’t just rely on their decades of experience, we choose to take the statistical approach. All of our team are specially selected and have demonstrable experience and success. As a result, everyone on our roster puts in hours of research and data analysis as part of every NBA pick, bringing you picks you can rely on.

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NBA Picks FAQs

Betting against the spread means to bet on the favourite to win by a certain amount of points or the underdog to win or lose by fewer than a certain amount.

Picks against the spread are popular amongst NBA bettors because they give more favorable odds for favorites and less risk when betting on an underdog.

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