NBA Picks

As things stand, the Nets have guaranteed themselves a top-3 spot in the draft lottery. A potential loss on Sunday vs Toronto with Indiana beating Detroit (which is very unlikely) means a coin flip would have to be used to determine the draft order, but again, that scenario isn’t at all likely. Brooklyn has been atrocious defensively, as they’ve lost 14 of 17 games overall and are on a 7-game losing streak in road games. We’ve seen quite a few unfamiliar names on their roster over the past several weeks, so unfamiliar that their profiles on website likes espn.com didn’t have profile photos.

Toronto still controls its own fate going into the final day of the regular season. They can still finish 5th, 6th, 7th or even 8th in some scenarios. Losing to the Knicks on Friday proved to be costly, as they had a chance to move up to 5th with a win, but instead, they are now 6th. That would all but guarantee a meeting with New York in the first round of the playoffs, which isn’t exactly ideal for Toronto. However, if both Atlanta and Orlando lose and the Raptors win then, they get the #5 seed and an opening series against the Cleveland Cavalies. This team has been reliable at home, covering in 7 of 8 games, and they’ve also won 10 of 15 games against the Eastern Conference.

The spread has been set at a whopping 23 points here, which is massive considering the 3 meetings this season have been decided by 10, 10 and 15 points. The Raptors have covered only 2 times in 10 meetings vs the Nets. They’re definitely winning this game, but I’m just not a fan of backing teams to cover massive lines like the one we’re getting for Sunday’s game. I’ll take the Nets.

Nets vs Raptors Predictions: Brooklyn Nets +23 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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It’s not often you see the Charlotte Hornets head into Madison Square Garden as -7.5 favorites, but that’s exactly the case on the final day of the regular season as they try to wrap up the #9 seed. The Miami Heat can still leap over the Hornets in the standings thanks to them owning the tie-breaker from winning the season series. In theory, that should motivate the Hornets to perform better than their last trip to NYC. Their only visit to this building earlier this season was a 15-point loss back in December. Since then, they’ve put together one of the more remarkable runs we’ve seen in recent years, and they head into this game having won 14 of 17 road games.

For the Knicks, their playoff positioning has already been settled, locked into the #3 seed behind the Pistons and Celtics following Friday’s big win over Toronto. It’s quite possible that head coach Mike Brown will field a weakened lineup here, just to give the likes of Brunson, KAT and others some rest before the postseason begins. The only starter I expect to play here is Mikal Bridges, even if it’s just briefly to preserve his consecutive game streak going.

You have to like Charlotte’s chances against the Knicks reserves here. A win guarantees the Hornets home court advantage in the play-in game against the #10 seed Miami Heat. For the way they’ve played the last couple of months, I think their fans deserve at least one playoff-like atmosphere before the season is over.  They’ll get exactly that if they beat the Knicks and secure the 9th seed here. Take Charlotte.

Hornets vs Knicks predictions: Charlotte Hornets -7.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Pistons showed no mercy to the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday despite already having wrapped up the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference. Cade Cunningham is doing his best to get back into the thick of things in these remaining couple games of the regular season following his long layoff due to a collapsed lung. His last opportunity to do so will be Sunday when Pistons face off with the Indiana Pacers in an otherwise meaningless game for both sides. Detroit has won all 3 meetings this season, and only one of them was decided by single digits — the game played in Indiana back in late November.

It pains me to say it, but I am almost certain the Pacers won’t be trying to win this game. It makes sense from a front office standpoint considering a win guarantees they remain the 2nd-worst team in the East, which means a higher chance of getting a top-4 pick in the upcoming historically great NBA draft. Against Philadelphia on Friday, we saw a mixed lineup that featured lesser-known names, and this could very well be the case in their final home game of the regular season. This team has just 1 win in 14 home games, but they’ve been a decent bet against the spread lately, covering 10 times in 12 games.

It’s not often a team gets a chance to win 60 games in a regular season, but the Pistons have a chance to achieve just that on Sunday, and I expect them to go all out for it. Cunningham looks like he hasn’t missed a beat, and one more solid game to wrap up the season sends out a clear message that the Pistons and their leader mean business this year. I’ll back the road team.

Pistons vs Pacers predictions: Detroit Pistons -12.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The nightmare of a season that was 2025-26 finally comes to an end for the Milwaukee Bucks when they travel to Philadelphia on the regular season’s final day. At 32-49, they are a game ahead of the Bulls in the East standings, occupying 11th place. Having won the regular season series 3-1, there’s no way the Bulls can leap over them, regardless of how Sunday’s game ends. We’re already grown accustomed to watching the Bucks play lesser known players in their lineup, as they’ve been doing it over the past couple of weeks. I anticipate that to be the case on Sunday as well.

For Philly, this game carries weight, as they can still catch the Orlando Magic in 7th place — assuming they slip up on the final day against Boston. In theory, they can also jump up to 6th, but then the Raptors would also have to lose to Brooklyn, which isn’t all that likely. I’m expecting a strong lineup on Sunday against the Bucks, with the likes of Paul George, Tyrese Maxey and VJ Edgecombe all playing. Joel Embiid is out of the hospital after his appendectomy, and it’s unclear if we’ll see him again this season. All 3 meetings with the Bucks went the Sixers’ way this season, and only one of them was decided by single digits.

If the Sixers take this game seriously, they should run over the Bucks reserves. The last time they played, the Sixers ended with 139 points in a 17-point win. I’m willing to give them the benefit of the doubt here given the situation they’re in ahead of the final day of the regular season. Sixers to cover.

Bucks vs 76ers Predictions: Philadelphia 76ers -15.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable to -16.5. 

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There’s no stress for Wizards fans on the final day of the NBA regular season. Losing on Friday to the Miami Heat locked the Wizards in 15th place in the Eastern Conference, which means they’ve guaranteed themselves a top-4 pick regardless of how things pan out on Sunday. The oddsmakers don’t have a lot of faith in them, even if they are playing a weakened Cavaliers team that’s likely to rest most of its star players. The spread has been set at 17.5 points, and only 1 of the 3 meetings between the sides has been decided by single digits. The most recent one saw a dominant Cavs win 138-113 back in mid-February.

Cleveland cannot move up or down on the final day, as Friday’s loss to Atlanta has locked them into the #4 seed, which means either the Hawks or the Raptors will be their opponent in the opening round of the playoffs. That also means we’re unlikely to see the top guns Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Evan Mobley or Jarrett Allen on Sunday. Players like Dean Wade, Max Strus, Jaylen Tyson and Dennis Schroder are likely to lead the charge. The question is can they blow out the Wizards? Cleveland has covered just 4 times in 14 games, and they’re also just 2-7 ATS in 9 outings against Eastern Conference opponents.

Both sides are going to play lesser known players here, so I don’t anticipate much defensive intensity. Washington hasn’t cared much about defense this season, as they’ve allowed 121+ points in 4 of their last 5 games. Even the Cavs reserves should have a productive night scoring the ball, so I’ll back the over.

Wizards vs Cavaliers predictions: Over 235.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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So much for Victor Wembanyama’s rib injury. The alien had yet another superb performance on Saturday, dominating the lowly Dallas Mavericks with a 40-point and 13-rebound performance in just 26 minutes of play. His Spurs got the job done by 19 points, putting up 139 to win their 62nd game of the season. Having already wrapped up the #2 seed without a chance of moving up to 1st, there is a solid chance we see a slightly altered lineup in the final game of the season when the Spurs face the Nuggets. Even a team like San Antonio, which has shown to care about the integrity of the game more than some other teams, won’t risk injuries in a meaningless game to end the regular season.

For Denver, this game is anything but meaningless, as they are still not safe in the #3 seed. The Lakers are exactly 1 game behind them, but they hold the tiebreaker having won the regular season series 2-1. LA plays the Jazz on the final day of the season; I think it’s safe to say they are coming out of that game with a win regardless who they put on the floor. That means the Nuggets will be motivated to get a result on Sunday.

The Nuggets have won 11 games in a row, and it makes way more sense to back them to get the win here as this game actually means something to them. These teams have played each other 3 times this season and all 3 games were high-scoring. That could be the case on Sunday as well, but I’m more in favor of backing Denver to secure the #3 seed and go over their pre-season win total.

Spurs vs Nuggets Predictions: Denver Nuggets +11 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The final day of the NBA’s regular season will play out this Sunday night, as the league has it set where all 30 NBA teams play their final game on the same evening to create as much drama as possible. While the league is a bit limited on dramatic finishes this season, this final game between the Sacramento Kings and the Portland Trail Blazers does have some slight playoff implications. While the Kings are well out of the postseason picture, the Trail Blazers find themselves sitting tied for the #8 seed in the Western Conference with the Los Angeles Clippers. Portland owns the tiebreaker, so a win would mean the Trail Blazers stay in that position and avoid having to play an additional play-in game.

Portland has gone on a solid run to end the season, winning 9 of their last 13 games. Deni Avdija will cap off his best season of his career, averaging 24.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 6.6 assists. Portland should be near full health with the exception of Damian Lillard and potentially Jerami Grant for this season finale and for the start of the postseason.

The Kings are tied for the 4th-worst record in the NBA with the Utah Jazz. Spots #4 and #5 have equal odds of 45% to draw a top-4 pick in the draft, but still, the Kings would benefit more from losing this game then they would be winning it. Numerous players have been sitting for Sacramento, including DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook, Keegan Murray and Domantas Sabonis. The most recognizable player that participated in the Kings’ last game against the Warriors was Malik Monk, who only logged 10 minutes. It is worth mentioning though the Kings won that game 124-118. Even so, I don’t think we see any key players for Sacramento, and I see the Trail Blazers trying to jump ahead early to avoid a crucial late season slip-up.

Kings vs Trail Blazers prediction: Portland Trail Blazers -16.5 (-110) is available at the time of publishing. Playable to that number.

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The late-season injury to Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves drained a level of hope from the Los Angeles Lakers, but with 1 game remaining, the Lakers have a chance to move into the #3 seed in the Western Conference with a win. Los Angeles is currently 1 game behind the Denver Nuggets, but the Lakers own the tiebreaker. A Lakers win and a Nuggets loss would result in the Lakers leapfrogging the Nuggets in the standings. Denver plays San Antonio Sunday night, so the scenario is not entirely impossible.

The Lakers have won their last 2 games without Doncic and Reaves, including a 119-103 win over the Warriors and a 101-73 win over the Suns. Los Angeles has played at a slower pace and relied on their defense with 2 of their main playmakers sidelined. Meanwhile, the Jazz appear to be blatantly losing games down the stretch. They have lost 10 of their last 11 games, but they are coming off a 147-101 win over the Memphis Grizzlies in their last outing. Nearly the entire Jazz roster was out for that game, as the Jazz played Ace Bailey and 6 other players trying to find a place in the NBA. Blake Hinson led the Jazz with 30 points in the win.

The Jazz will want to lose this final game of the season, as they are currently tied with the Sacramento Kings for the 4th-worst record in the league. Utah owns the tanking tiebreaker, so a loss Sunday would lock them into that spot with the NBA lottery around the corner. We have seen this scenario multiple times since the All-Star break: a team that is motivated to win taking on a team seemingly motivated to lose. The average margin of victory in the NBA this season is 13.1, the highest it has ever been, and it has likely been due to all the teams that have tanked down the stretch. As fans, we only have to endure it one more day.

Jazz vs Lakers prediction: Los Angeles Lakers -16.5 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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