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8:00 PM ET

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Knicks

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Point Spread Pick

NY Knicks -2.0(-110)

Reasoning

Just over a month ago, the Knicks were trailing the Hawks in their first round series after losing back-to-back games by just 1 point each. Things looked to be pretty bleak in the New York locker room and there were rumblings of where the team would go from here. What followed has simply been one of the best extended runs of basketball in NBA postseason history, as the Knicks have rattled off 10 consecutive wins — with 9 of those victories coming by double digits. This improbable run continued into the Eastern Conference Finals, with New York rallying from a 22-point deficit in the fourth quarter to steal Game 1 in overtime. From there, Mike Brown’s group has taken total control of the series, and the Knicks are operating in a completely different gear from Cleveland at the moment. New York essentially controlled Game 3 on the road from start to finish, and it’s hard to imagine that Cleveland gets off the mat after dropping the first 3 games of this series. With that in mind, I’ll side with the market adjustment on the Knicks and take New York to complete the sweep and advance to its first NBA Finals since 1999.

Regardless of what the Cavaliers have thrown at the Knicks in this series, Brown and the New York coaching staff have been able to adapt on the fly. In Games 1 and 3, Brown swapped out Josh Hart for Landry Shamet and the Knicks went with 5 shooters on the court in the 4th quarter — which led to plenty of space for Jalen Brunson to consistently get to his spot and find easy success against the Cleveland defense. We also saw Mikal Bridges’ cutting and constant off-ball movement lead to easy buckets, while Karl-Anthony Towns continues to shine as the hub of New York’s offense. Not only is Cleveland’s defense proving to be a real issue in this series, but the Cavaliers offense has struggled mightily against a Knicks team that is defending at a really high level in the halfcourt, particularly in the second halves of Games 2 and 3. Donovan Mitchell is having a decent series, but his impact has certainly not been felt like it needs to be, and the same can be said for Evan Mobley — who has either been a bit too assertive, or not assertive enough through the first 3 games. Ultimately, it’s hard to see Cleveland being all that motivated to put forth its best effort in Game 4, which is what the Cavaliers will need if they’re hoping to avoid the sweep at home. Lay the points with New York.

Knicks vs Cavaliers prediction: Knicks -2 available at time of publishing. Playable to Knicks -3.

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8:30 PM ETTomorrow

NBC/Peacock

8:30 PM ETTomorrow

1 PickNBC/Peacock

SA Spurs @ OKC Thunder

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Point Spread Pick

OKC Thunder -5.5(-110)

Reasoning

After taking a win in a crucial game four, the San Antonio Spurs will travel back to Oklahoma City to take on the Thunder in a pivotal game five. Game four was a lopsided victory for the Spurs. San Antonio took advantage of a bad shooting night for the Thunder. A desperate Spurs defense was able to hold the Thunder to 82 total points and 18% shooting from three-point range. The Thunder missed both Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell in this game. Both players missed the game with leg injuries, and they are both questionable for game five. With Williams and Mitchell out of the lineup, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had to shoulder most of the ball-handling for the Thunder. The Spurs defense was able to key in on the two-time MVP and held him to 19 points on 6 of 15 shooting, his worst game of the series. The games the Thunder have been able to win this series has been because of their depth, and their role players were not able to step up in the absence of their injured teammates. Jared McCain scored only 4 points on 1 of 10 shooting, Jaylin Williams scored 3 points on 1 of 7 shooting, Aaron Wiggins scored 4 points on 2 of 11 shooting, and Alex Caruso scored 0 points in 14 minutes played. The Spurs defense deserves credit, but with the next game set to be played on the Thunders’ home floor, I expect these numbers for these role players to look better for game five. For the Spurs, the main player I’m looking at for game five is Stephon Castle. Castle played great in both games three and four, and he was able to be the frontrunner for the Spurs fast-paced attack. Castle now needs to keep that same level of play up in Oklahoma City, the arena where he had 20 total turnovers between games one and two. If the Thunder can pressure Castle into another high turnover game, the Thunder should be able to flip the tempo back to their preferred pace of play. These teams have gone back and forth in controlling this series. The Spurs and the Thunder have truly shown to be the best matchup in the NBA. In a crucial game five, I am going to have a slight lean towards the Thunder and their experience over the young Spurs. There are times when the Spurs offense can rely too heavily on Victor Wembanyama’s perimeter offense or De’Aaron Fox’s playmaking, and it has resulted in lengthy scoreless periods for San Antonio. We have already seen the Thunder’s poise in big moments, and we know it will show in game five. On his home court, I expect the MVP to bounce back and lead his team to victory.

Thunder -5.5 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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