NBA Picks

Let’s start with the number – this is a virtual toss-up. In a 50/50 spot like this one, taking the reduced price on the dog is the move here because it has the most value. That’s Cleveland in this case. But let’s also dive deeper, Cleveland remains one of the worst covering teams in the NBA on the season at 12-29 while the Sixers are one of the best at 23-14-1. This means that by default, the Cavaliers are undervalued here while Philadelphia is prone to being overvalued. Once again that points to the value resting with the visitors.

You will hear that this game will be a playoff-type of tilt with an animated atmosphere. That’s true, but that never prompted the Cavaliers to be shy in these situations. The Cavaliers have lost games on the road against postseason caliber outfits that they should have won. Cough, cough – New York on Christmas Day. The Cavaliers have defeated the Sixers already this season in a 132-121 win that saw the Cavs shoot lights out against Philadelphia. The point is, Cleveland has a recipe for success it can duplicate here, and they should not be the underdog. Because of trends and ATS history, Cleveland is the underdog in this one. But for me, the wrong side is favored.

Cavaliers vs 76ers prediction: Cavaliers ML (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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After an odd pair of games against the Philadelphia 76ers and a split, the Toronto Raptors now head to Indianapolis for a date with the suddenly hot Pacers. I say odd because Toronto won the first game without Brandon Ingram in the line-up, then proceeded to lose by double-digits when he returned on the 2nd night of that back-to-back. Once again he is on the injury report ahead of Wednesday’s game, but should be ready to play. More importantly for Toronto is the absence of RJ Barrett here. When he doesn’t play the offensive rating is at 107.9, compared to 120.6 when he play. Their record also reflects his availability, the Raptors are just 8-10 SU without Barrett and 16-7 SU with him.

Don’t look now, but the Indiana Pacers have just connected 3 wins in a row and are currently on their longest win streak of the season. It took them almost 3 months to achieve this feat, can we say they are finally out of the woods in terms of injuries? Well, not quite. Tyrese Haliburton isn’t coming back, plus Mathurin, Jackson and Obi Toppin all remain out of the line-up. A play-in tournament is probably out of reach, but the Pacers are still playing with a lot of pride and this recent run shows us that they haven’t completely given up on this season.

In two meetings this season Toronto recorded 2 wins, but the last time these two met only 2 points separated them. After that lackluster performance against Philly I am not sure I am able to trust the Raptors here. Indiana has finally found some stability, especially at the point guard position which has helped steady the ship a little. I’ll give them the benefit of the doubt and back them to cover at home.

Raptors vs Pacers prediction: Pacers +2.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The mini 3-game road trip that the Nets are currently on finally ends tonight, as they take on the struggling New Orleans Pelicans. With just 1 win since 2026 began, the Nets aren’t exactly doing well themselves, but on certain occasions they pull off a surprise or two. Wednesday might be one of those games as they face a Pelicans team who they’ve dominated in recent meetings, going 11-3 SU in 14 games and covering in 11 of the last 15 head-to-head. There’s also good news on the injury front with MPJ returning with 28 against the Mavs the other day, he is expected to play once again which would be a major boost to their offensive capabilities.

New Orleans is also on a losing streak, following their 122-116 defeat to the Nuggets the other day. Unlike the Nets who are struggling for quality offense, the Pelicans are having major issues defending the basket. Teams are scoring 122.4 points per game on them, that ranks the Pels 28th in the NBA only ahead of the Wizards and Jazz. In home games they are even worse at 123 points allowed per game, so even the somewhat offensively limited Nets could have an easy scoring game here if the Pelicans don’t do something about it. It takes time to change bad habits, I feel like until major roster changes are made these Pelicans won’t be able to stop teams from scoring the basketball.

About a month ago these teams met in Brooklyn and the Nets won 119-101, getting 35 points from MPJ and holding the Pels to just 36% shooting from deep. With the Pelicans winning only once in 12 games and currently on a 6-game losing streak, I cannot justify backing them here. Take the Nets in this one.

Nets vs Pelicans prediction: Nets -2 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Chicago Bulls fell at the hands of the Houston Rockets last night and could find themselves up against it once more as they welcome another Western Conference opponent in the Utah Jazz. The Bulls have won just 2 of 6 games when playing with no nights rest this season with a point differential of -4.3 in those contests. The Jazz are far from an ideal opponent too considering that over the last 10 games they are in the top 10 of the league in pace while also being in the top half of the NBA in fast break points per game. During that stretch the team is also a respectable 12th in true shooting percentage so their offense should keep them in this game throughout.

The Bulls continue to play without the services of Josh Giddey. The Bulls are a .500 team when the point guard plays, but without him they have just a 3-6 record. With Coby White missing recent games too, the hosts offense can struggle. Over the last 10 games they are just 26th in offensive rating. It should make it difficult for them to match the production at point of breakout Jazz star Keyonte George. He dropped 33 points in a win when these sides met earlier this season. The guard is coming into this game after an efficient 32-point performance against the Cleveland Cavaliers too. Do not be surprised to see him carry the Jazz to their 2nd straight win here, or extremely close to it.

Utah Jazz vs Chicago Bulls prediction: Jazz +4 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to Jazz +3.5.

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Dallas is without Anthony Davis, who has been ruled out long term (re-evaluated in about 6 weeks). That matters because his absence removes Dallas’ most consistent interior advantage and defensive anchor. Denver, meanwhile, is trending up short-term: Jamal Murray just returned and dropped 35 points with nine assists in a win over New Orleans. The absence of Jokic is now old news for the Nuggets.

Murray’s return stabilizes their late-game offense, which is the most important ingredient for the Nuggets to win a prognosticated close game like this one. Dallas has to manufacture structure without Davis, while Denver has a primary creator back in rhythm. This flips the entire complexion of the game. Dallas is not a good basketball team and they should not be favored here. The Mavs still sit 10 games under .500 and while they have shown moments of brilliance like they did against Houston on January 3rd or Brooklyn most recently, this is still not a team to trust to hold their end of the bargain. This is another example of the wrong team being priced as the chalk. Win or lose, Denver is the right play here.

Nuggets vs Mavericks prediction: Nuggets ML (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The New York Knicks make the third stop in a four-game trip through the Western Conference. While this game certainly looks like a favorable matchup, with the Sacramento Kings currently sitting at 20 games under .500, be very careful. The Knicks picked up a 123-114 win as 5.5-point favorites on Sunday in Portland, and they’re 2-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the past 3 games. However, New York is still just 2-7 ATS in its past 9 games, and 4-10 ATS across the previous 14 contests. The Knicks have failed to cover in 7 of the past 8 road games, too.

The Sacramento Kings have struggled all season, but lately they’ve been a big thorn in the side of some contenders, especially the Houston Rockets. Sacramento won 111-98 at home as a 14.5-point underdog on Sunday against the Rockets, and it turned around on no rest to dispatch the Los Angeles Lakers 124-112, winning outright as a 9.5-point home ‘dog. The Kings are 3-1 ATS in the past four games, and it is a respectable 8-6 ATS across the past 14 games since Dec. 18. Let’s look for the Kings to cover as double-digit underdogs.

Knicks vs Kings prediction: Kings +11 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +9.5.

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The Washington Wizards pull into Los Angeles for the second stop on a four-game road trip. It didn’t start very well, falling 112-93 in Phoenix on Sunday, coming nowhere near a cover as a 15-point underdogs. Washington is 0-3 against the spread (ATS) in the past three games. The Under is 3-1 in the past outings, too, and 7-2 in the past nine games since Dec. 28. It’s scary playing the Under in Washington games, as their defense has been terrible at times, including 128 or more points in three of the past five games. But, the offense is struggling mightily, going for just 103.3 PPG on offense in the past three games.

The Clippers topped the suddenly resurgent Charlotte Hornets 117-109 as 5-point favorites, cashing for the third consecutive game. L.A. has also won three in a row. While the Wizards have been going Under frequently, the Clippers are 3-1 to the Over in the past four games, so that’s a bit of a concern. However, the Clippers have allowed 109 or fewer points in three straight games, and 10 of the past 12 games. Washington is going to have a whale of a time trying to select the Clippers, especially on their road in their place. Go low, and feel confident in doing so.

Wizards vs Clippers prediction: Under 224.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 223.5.

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