NBA Picks

The Clippers are in midst of a 7-game road trip, and so far they’ve only beaten the Mavericks in double OT. In their other two games, they lost by 3 and 2 points. James Harden has been doing his best to keep them afloat with all the injuries, but I have a hard time believing it’s a good strategy to rely on a 36-year old Harden to carry a team at this stage of his career. LA has covered only once in 9 games, as they just lost Derrick Jones Jr. to a knee injury – joining Kawhi Leonard and Bradley Beal on the sidelines.

The Magic surprised a lot of people with their 121-113 win over Golden State the other day. Desmond Bane had one of his better games as a member of this team with 23 points, but it was a balanced attack with all 5 starters scoring in double-figures and Anthony Black chipping in 21 off the pine. A similar performance will be required here, as the team continues life without Paolo Banchero – who is recovering from a groin issue. At 5-3 SU the Magic are a reliable bet when playing at home, plus they’ve covered in 5 of 6 meetings with Western Conference opponents.

If we go player-for-player, I’d argue the Clippers’ only advantage is at the center position here. With just 1 win in 8 road games, it’s hard to consider the away team here. I’ll go with the Magic to cover.

Clippers vs Magic Predictions: Orlando Magic -5.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Two teams playing great basketball will go against one another Thursday night when the Atlanta Hawks travel to take on the San Antonio Spurs. The Hawks have a record of 9-6 with most of those wins coming on the road. They have won 7 of 9 road games this season, but just saw their 5-game winning streak come to an end on Tuesday with a 120-112 loss to the Detroit Pistons. Jalen Johnson scored 25 points while the team has continued to play in the absence of Trae Young. 

The Spurs have a record of 10-4, but unlike the Hawks, most of their wins have come on their home floor. The Spurs have also won 7 of their 9 home games this season. They are currently on a 2-game winning streak, with their last win coming against the Memphis Grizzlies 111-101. De’Aaron Fox led the team in scoring with 26 points. Fox has averaged 22.7 points and 6.2 assists in the 6 games he has played since returning from injury. The Spurs won 4 of those 6 games. 

The stars will be missing in this game.  Young will continue to miss time with a knee injury, and Victor Wembanyama will miss time for the Spurs with a calf injury. Stephon Castle for the Spurs and Kristaps Porzingis for the Hawks will also sit out this game with injury. Each team will need to rely on their depth and role players to find a way to win tonight.

I believe the absence of Wembanyama will play the biggest factor in this matchup. The Spurs’ success on offense and defense relies heavily on Wembanyama. With multiple other starters out, the Spurs will need to rely on Fox to carry them through this stretch. Fox is a great player, but he is still finding his footing after returning from injury and is still somewhat new on this roster. Also missing tonight for the Spurs will be Derek Harper and Jordan McLaughlin, meaning when Fox is not on the floor, we may see the Spurs run a lineup without a true point guard. Hawks’ forward Jalen Johnson continues to show he is a rising star, averaging 22 points and 6.5 assists. I like for Johnson and the Hawks to get it done on the road tonight in San Antonio.

Hawks vs Spurs prediction: Atlanta Hawks -105 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The 76ers enter this matchup trending strongly toward high scoring games, especially when they’re favored — they’re 4–1 to the over in those spots. Tyrese Maxey’s explosive early season play has pushed Philly’s offensive ceiling even higher, and their pace (top-10 in the league) helps create more possessions and quick scoring opportunities. With multiple bench scorers capable of swinging momentum, Philadelphia rarely stays in low tempo battles, particularly against teams with shaky defensive stretches.

Milwaukee fits that mold, as the over is 6–2 in Bucks home games this season. Their defense has been inconsistent, especially in transition and against attacking guards, while their offense remains capable of pushing totals upward with streaky perimeter shooting and aggressive secondary scoring from players. The combination of Philly’s pace and Milwaukee’s defensive volatility sets up a game environment that leans fast and fluid rather than methodical. With both teams trending toward overs in their current contexts, this number looks reachable.

76ers vs Bucks prediction: Over 224.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 225.5.

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The Kings enter this matchup in rough form, particularly on the road, where they’ve posted a troubling 1–7 record and continue to struggle defensively in away environments. Their inconsistency shows up in key areas — poor late game execution, limited rim protection, and stretches of stagnant offense when they’re outside Sacramento. Even though they have capable scorers, their road metrics suggest significant vulnerability, especially against teams with physical frontcourts and disciplined defensive structure.

The Grizzlies, while not flawless, hold firmer footing at home with a 3–5 record and an impressive 4–1 mark as a favorite, showing they typically take care of business when expected to. Their defensive activity, rebounding edge, and more stable half court offense give them an advantage in a matchup between two struggling Western Conference teams. Given Sacramento’s continued road issues and Memphis’ relative reliability in these spots, the lean is toward the home team controlling the game’s key stretches.

Kings vs Grizzlies Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies -2 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable to -3.5

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