Arizona Wildcats vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/24/26

The Arizona Wildcats head to Waco fresh off a win at Houston, handing the Cougars just their 2nd home loss in conference since joining the Big 12 3 years ago. Without Koa Peat, the Cats held Houston to 1.02 points per possession on 40% from two-point range and 30.8% beyond the arc. They also won the turnover battle by 7, only turning it over 5 times, which is extremely impressive at Houston. Meanwhile, Baylor comes into this contest off a rare conference win, defeating Arizona State at home on Saturday 73-68 thanks to one of their better perimeter shooting performances in conference play. They were probably due for some good luck in that department, as they were 5-of-46 combined from three against Kansas State and Louisville in the 2 games prior. 

This is quite a sandwich spot for Arizona, coming off the big win at Houston with a revenge game at home against Kansas on Saturday. Peat is listed as questionable for his game, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him held out until this weekend – as coach Tommy Lloyd made it sound like the Wildcats are playing the long game with him. Anthony Dell’Orso, the star of Saturday’s win, is also questionable after picking up an injury late in the game against the Cougars. Meanwhile, Baylor should be close to full strength with Dan Skillings listed as probable.

It’s been a tough year for the Bears, but this squad still has talent and they are playing at home, where some of their best conference performances have been – even in losses. They attack the offensive glass aggressively and they like to find attempts in the mid-range via their strong stable of combo guards, which could give them a nice floor here considering Arizona’s defense tends to funnel its opponents to the mid-range. Look for the Bears to do just enough to finish inside the number in a tough spot for Arizona, who is 1-3 ATS in their last 4 as a road favorite.

Arizona vs Baylor prediction: Baylor +10 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +9. 

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