Auburn Tigers vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/14/26

It’s a battle of Tigers in the SEC on Wednesday when Auburn heads north to Columbia to take on Missouri. Auburn was able to get back into the win-column on Saturday with a 95-73 home victory over Arkansas in which the Tigers scored 1.33 points per possession thanks to 63.2% from inside the arc and 45.5% beyond it. The win snapped a 2-game losing streak and a run of 4 losses in 6 games. Now, Auburn heads back on the road – where it has struggled to find wins – to take on a Missouri team that just lost 76-69 to Ole Miss last time out. The Tigers had a few key missing pieces in that game, but offense evaded them – scoring just 1.03 points per possession thanks to an awful showing from the three-point line and the charity stripe. 

I can only go with the home team here, especially with the price around a pick-em. For years, Auburn has been a team you bet on at home and at least lay off, if not bet against on the road. Since 2021, when the Tigers were a 1-seed going into the NCAA tournament, Auburn is just 22-25 ATS on the road, including 8-12 ATS as an underdog or favorite up to 3 points. The Tigers just covered on the road at Georgia, but it absolutely was not a comfortable cover, as they allowed the Bulldogs to score 1.26 points per possession on nearly 64% shooting from inside the arc. In 2 true road games, Auburn has surrendered a 63.3% effective field goal percentage, which ranks nearly the bottom of the country at 363rd. 

Missouri can take advantage of Auburn’s poor interior defense. The Tigers are in the 97th percentile in percentage of points in the paint, due in large part to Mark Mitchell’s efficiency in close proximity. Furthermore, they are highly efficient in transition, which is an area of weakness for Auburn defensively. Give me Mizzou at home.

Auburn vs Missouri prediction: Missouri Tigers ML (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to -1.5.

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