Boston University Terriers vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks Prediction, Odds & Picks for Today, 03/11/26

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The Patriot League appeared to be one of the more predictable conference tournaments on paper, but things quickly took a turn on Sunday when the Boston Terriers hit a long 3-pointer at the buzzer to knock off top-seeded Navy to advance to the title game for the first time since 2020, a year in which they were unable to compete in the postseason due to Covid. The Terriers have won both of their games in this tournament by a combined 3 points, so they are certainly living on the edge and could be due for some regression in a close game on Wednesday. However, Lehigh has also done extremely well in close games in this tournament, having won its quarterfinal matchup against Holy Cross at the buzzer, before knocking off Colgate as an underdog in the semifinal round. This title game is nearly priced as a pick ’em, which makes sense given the current form of both teams, and how close both regular season meetings were. However, I’m going to eschew backing a side in this one and focus on the total instead.

Conference title games are generally of the lower-scoring variety, and I fully expect this one to stay the same. Lehigh is no stranger to playing lower-scoring games, and it’s no surprise that the Mountain Hawks have one of the worst offenses in the nation (ranked 288th in adjusted efficiency), even against a fairly weak schedule. I wouldn’t expect that to change against a Boston team that was able to hold down Navy’s offense in a similarly high-pressure situation in the semifinal round. On the other side, the Terriers are a team that don’t get to the free-throw line and struggle with turnovers, which is not an ideal combination for playing in a high-stakes game that is expected to be close down the stretch. Look for both teams to start out fairly slow in the first half, and as long as we don’t end up with an overtime game, this one should stay under the total.

Boston vs Lehigh prediction: Under 141.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to Under 140.

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