Cincinnati Bearcats vs UCF Knights Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/11/26

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The Big 12 tournament gets set for its second full day of action on Wednesday with a showdown between Cincinnati and UCF. Few teams are playing better than Cincinnati at the moment, and the Bearcats are fresh off a win over Utah to keep their slim, but realistic NCAA Tournament hopes alive heading into this contest. Despite a loss to TCU last Saturday, Wes Miller’s team is 12th at BartTorvik since February 1, and the resume over the last month certainly speaks volumes as to how well the Bearcats are playing. Cincinnati has already picked up wins over Kansas, Iowa State and this same UCF team in Big 12 play, so it’s certainly possible that the Bearcats could make a deep run this week in Kansas City.

Unlike their counterparts, the UCF Knights are in the midst of their worst run of form since conference play started, and this is not the time of year to be trending in the wrong direction. In fact, UCF is just 3-6 since February 1 and is in dire need of a shot in the arm following a recent 3-game losing streak that included home losses to Baylor and Oklahoma State, plus a blowout loss at the hands of West Virginia. The Knights are now squarely on the bubble, and it’s hard to see their offense having much success in an early afternoon game in this unfamiliar venue against a Cincinnati defense that is among the best units in the nation. The Bearcats did an excellent job of limiting the Knights’ scoring from beyond the 3-point arc in the first meeting back on February 8, and as long as they are able to win the battle on the glass and keep things close in the shot volume department, there should be plenty of avenues for Cincinnati to see success against this porous UCF defense. I’ll lay the short number with the Bearcats.

Cincinnati vs UCF prediction: Cincinnati -2.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to Cincinnati -3.

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