Connecticut Huskies vs Butler Bulldogs Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/11/26

Following a tough loss at St. John’s on Friday, the UConn Huskies will hit the road for their 2nd consecutive game and 3rd in the last 4 when they travel to Indianapolis to play the Butler Bulldogs. Friday’s loss was just the 2nd of the season for UConn, so there’s no reason to panic if you’re a Huskies fan, especially considering the return game is scheduled for later this month at UConn for the Huskies to exact revenge. 

As for Wednesday’s opponent, Butler has dropped to 4-9 in conference play thanks to their 2nd 4-game losing streak of the conference schedule. Aside from the double-overtime loss at Providence, none of these recent games have been very competitive. Availability has been an issue for this Butler squad, as Jalen Jackson only played 6 games before injury, while another starter in Azavier Robinson will miss the rest of the season due to wrist surgery. Jamie Kaiser missed the Marquette game due to illness, and while he may be expected back on Wednesday, the Bulldogs still only have 9-10 healthy players for the foreseeable future. 

Robinson’s absence will be felt in this matchup with UConn, as he was one of the better defensive pieces in Butler’s back court. Instead, Finley Bizjack, Yame Butler and Evan Haywood will handle most of the guard duties, and none of them are anywhere near Robinson’s defensive ability. In fact, they are 3 of the bottom 4 defensive players on the team per Evan Miya. However, with Michael Ajayi and Drayton Jones healthy, the Bulldogs have some defensive upside in the front court, which should come in handy against Alex Karaban and Tarris Reed. 

These teams met once already this season, and it was UConn that came away with a 79-60 win at home, scoring 1.13 points per possession while holding Butler to 0.86. The Huskies turned the ball over 15 times and gave up 12 offensive rebounds and still managed to win by margin thanks to their defense, which rates top-5 nationally and best in the Big East – both in adjusted efficiency and effective field goal percentage. This defense travels too, as the Huskies have held all but 1 of their road opponents to 67 points or less. Expect more of the same from UConn on Wednesday.

UConn vs Butler prediction: Connecticut -11 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -11.5.

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