Florida State Seminoles - NCAAB

Florida State Seminoles vs Dayton Flyers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/16/25

UD Arena CBSSN
Florida State
5-5
Florida State
Today
Dayton
8-3
Dayton

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Dayton Flyers- NCAAB
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Florida State vs Dayton Pickswise Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick
Over 165.5(-110)

The Florida State Seminoles and the Dayton Flyers will face off on Tuesday night for a non-conference game. The Seminoles are just 5-5 under first year head coach Luke Loucks and have lost their last four games. Their most recently loss came to UMass, where they gave up 103 points. Dayton is 8-3 and is favored to win this game at home but my best bet of the game is the over.

The total is currently set at 165.5 points and I like the over. Florida State gave up 103 points to UMass last time out, so Dayton should have no issues scoring at a high-level. Florida State’s defense is ranked #290 nationally in opposing points per game at 80.9. They are giving up 97.3 points per game over their last three games and have the #108 ranked defense at KenPom. Dayton’s defense has been better than Florida State’s, but I do not see it being good enough to keep the total under 165.5. Their three-point defense is ranked just #338 at KenPom.

The game should be played at a very fast pace, which should add the value on the over in this one. According to KenPom, Florida State is ranked #7 in adjusted tempo and #7 in average offensive possession length while Dayton is ranked #144 in adjusted tempo. Take the over here.

*Over 165.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at 167*

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Lock Mamba

My name is Robby Nardini and I have been a diehard college basketball fan my whole life. I am a former University of Illinois basketball manager and have been writing about college hoops since I moved on from the program in 2020. My gambling picks here on Pickswise are heavily calculated by using my overall college basketball knowledge, specific trends and analytical sites such as KenPom, Bart Torvik, Evan Miya and more. I write here at Pickswise as well as Illinois basketball specific outlets such as Armchair Illini and The Champaign Room. You can find me on X @robbynardini and @lockmamba, where I write a wide range of college hoops focused pieces and do my own Bracketology.
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