Iowa State Cyclones vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/01/26

The Iowa State Cyclones won in dominating fashion on Thursday, taking care of business at home against Colorado 97-67. The ‘Clones scored an insane 1.42 points per possession, connecting on almost 70% of 2-point attempts and nearly 48% of 3-point attempts while dominating the rebounding battle and holding the Buffaloes under 1.0 point per possession. It was their third win in a row after dropping 2 straight, pushing their record to 19-2. 

Kansas State is in the opposite predicament. With their loss at West Virginia on Tuesday, the Wildcats are 10-11 overall and 1-7 in conference play — and it’s tough to see things getting any better for the ‘Cats in the short term, as this team is extremely banged up right now. Leading scorer Abdi Bashir remains out, while the statuses of Khamari McGriff and Elias Rapieque remain unknown. 

Iowa State has one of the nation’s best defenses, ranking 6th in adjusted efficiency and 5th in forced turnover rate, which means Kansas State is fighting an uphill battle without Bashir. The Wildcats have scored just 62 and 54 points in their last 2 games, and it’s not going to get easier for them against an Iowa State defense that is 11th nationally in scoring, holding opponents to 65 points per game. That defense has traveled, as unders are 4-1 in Iowa State’s 5 true road games. Without much confidence that Kansas State will contribute to the scoring, I like the under in this Big 12 matinee. 

Iowa State vs Kansas State prediction: Under 155.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable to 154.

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