Marquette Golden Eagles vs Villanova Wildcats Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/10/26

The Marquette Golden Eagles will hit the road for Philadelphia to play the Villanova Wildcats on Tuesday after securing a 15-point home win over Butler on Saturday. The Eagles have been playing better of late, at least at home, where they have won 3 games in a row. However, they have yet to win a game away from Fiserv Forum – road or neutral. Meanwhile, Villanova has won 3 straight and 7 of 9 since the turn of the calendar year, as it sits 9-3 in Big East play – just 2 games behind leaders UConn and St. John’s. These teams met once already this year, in what was a 76-73 Villanova win at Marquette.

Marquette has picked it up offensively of late, sitting in the 75th percentile in offensive rating and in the 93rd percentile in effective field-goal percentage over the last 5 games. However, to put more context to that, 3 of those games came against the bottom 2 defenses in the conference. Villanova is not that. In fact, the Wildcats are in the 84th percentile in defensive rating over their last 5 games, as well as top 4 in the Big East in efficiency and effective field-goal percentage allowed. 

The Wildcats have great momentum right now, surpassing offensive expectations in 4 consecutive games and in 5 straight defensively. This team is very good defensively in transition, as well as against perimeter cuts and attack-and-kick sets, which are 3 areas Marquette loves to score offensively. These schematic advantages for Villanova, in tandem with Marquette’s road woes, make me lean to the home team. For what it’s worth, Marquette averages just 69 points per road game – 11 points fewer than they average at home – and carries just a 47.1% effective field-goal percentage in those games away from home. On the other end, they surrender 83.5 points per game on the road – 11.2 points more than at home – while giving up a 56% effective field-goal percentage. The Wildcats should take advantage of that on both ends. 

Marquette vs Villanova prediction: Villanova -9.5 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to -10. 

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