McNeese State Cowboys vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/11/26

McNeese State is looking to get back to the NCAA Tournament after losing head coach Will Wade to the North Carolina State after last season’s run. The Cowboys won 27 games this season, but they split two meetings with the Lumberjacks of Stephen F. Austin. In the most recent meeting, SFA won 67-60 as a 2.5-point underdog, and the Lumberjacks covered both of the meetings, while holding a 4-3 against the spread (ATS) edge in the past seven meetings. That’s great news if you’re looking for a same-game parlay (SGP) option in this game in Lake Charles, La.

However, the best play in this one is the total, going low. The Under cashed on Jan. 5, as the teams combined for 130 points with a total of 144.5. We had just 127 points in the Feb. 2 meeting with a total of 141.5, so the Under easily cashed in that one as well. McNeese went high in the semifinal against UTRGV, but that game went to overtime. In the final four games of the regular season, all decided in regulation, McNeese went Under at a 4-0 clip. For Stephen F. Austin, the Under went low in the semis against Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, while going 3-1 in the past four outings. With plenty of nerves, a trip to the NCAA Tournament on the line, look for rather sluggish offense and low scores yet again.

Under 138.5 (-110) at time of publishing. Playable to 137.5.