Memphis Tigers vs Florida Atlantic Owls Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/11/26

The Memphis Tigers will travel to Boca Raton on Sunday for an American Conference matchup against the Florida Atlantic Owls. Memphis brought zero players back from last season but still has been disappointing relative to preseason expectations. They are just 7-7 but have started American Conference play at a perfect 2-0. The Tigers have historically dominated this conference since Houston left and I expect that to continue over the next few months. Memphis is a two-point road underdog here and I am taking them to win the game.

Memphis to win this one is my best bet of the game because its defense has been good this season and should be too much for FAU. According to KenPom, the Tigers are ranked 30th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, as they gave up just 48 points against North Texas and have not allowed more than 71 points over their past 4 games. Florida Atlantic’s offense is ranked outside the top 100 in adjusted offensive efficiency, and I do not see it being enough to win this game. Take Memphis to win.

Memphis vs Florida Atlantic prediction: Memphis ML (+105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -110.

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