Memphis Tigers vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/20/25

The 2025 Baha Mar Championship kicks off the holiday MTE schedule on Thursday when the Purdue Boilermakers meet the Memphis Tigers on the hardwood at 6:00pm ET in the Bahamas. The beginning of the season couldn’t be any more different for these teams, as Purdue returned a vast majority of its squad and has started the year hot with a 4-0 record – including a win at Alabama last week. Meanwhile, Memphis doesn’t return anyone from last year. Because of that, the Tigers haven’t been nearly as good out of the gate as they were last year when they started 6-0 before a loss to Auburn in Maui. Through 3 games, Memphis is 1-2 with losses at Ole Miss and at home against UNLV – a game in which the Tigers trailed by as many as 21 points.

I’m expecting the Boilermakers to be a runaway freight train in this game. While Memphis has some solid pieces, this group is still working on its chemistry and cohesion – which isn’t ideal against arguably the most cohesive squad in the country. Not only that, but Purdue sits in the 96th percentile in offensive rating per CBB Analytics and figures to score at will against a Memphis defense that surrendered at least 1.15 points per possession in its last 2 games. For what it’s worth, CBB Analytics has Memphis’ defensive rating in the 35th percentile, and the Tigers rank 271st in effective field goal percentage allowed. They also foul at one of the highest rates in the country and lack depth on the interior to oppose Purdue’s Oscar Cluff and Trey Kaufman-Renn. 

Sure, Memphis could show up to the Bahamas and shoot lights out against a Purdue defense that yields a ton of threes, but I don’t trust this version of the Memphis Tigers to push Purdue for 40 minutes. Look for the Boilers to win convincingly here.

Purdue vs Memphis prediction: Purdue Boilermakers -14.5 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to -16.

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