Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/13/26

The Michigan State Spartans will travel to Madison on Friday night for a Big Ten game against the Wisconsin Badgers. Wisconsin is coming off one of the best wins in all of college basketball on Tuesday night, going on the road to beat Illinois. That is the Badgers’ second monster win, as they beat Michigan earlier this season. They improved to 9-4 in conference play with that win, but they will have another huge test when Michigan State comes to town. The Spartans are 10-3 in league play and boast one of the best defenses in the country. I view this matchup as a letdown spot for Wisconsin, so I’m backing Michigan State to cover.

The Spartans are a physical team that should be able to impose their will and wear down the Badgers through 40 minutes of basketball. Michigan State should be able to win the rebounding by wide margin. Since January 1, Michigan State’s offense is ranked #3 nationally in offensive rebounding and its defense is ranked #18, according to Bart Torvik. Wisconsin is not a good rebounding team — despite its great performance against the Illini. The Badgers are ranked just #239 in offensive rebounding percentage and will likely struggle with the physicality of the Spartans. Let’s roll with Michigan State -1.5.

Michigan State vs Wisconsin prediction: Michigan State -1.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -2.

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