Morehead State Eagles vs Tennessee State Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/07/26

The No. 1 seed Tennessee State Tigers meet the No. 2 seed Morehead State Eagles in the Ohio Valley Conference Final at the Ford Center in Evansville, Indiana. For the most part, the OVC Tournament ended up going according to plan, with higher seed winning five of the six games so far. Tennessee State and Morehead State each earned byes until the semifinals, and each obviously won those games. Tennessee State ousted rival Tennessee-Martin 68-55 on Friday, while Morehead State topped Southeast Missouri State 66-61.

The Tigers covered as a 2.5-point underdog against the Skyhawks despite being the top overall seed. TSU has won and covered four in a row since Feb. 14, when it lost at Morehead State, 94-86. While the Under cashed last time out, and in the final three regular-season games, the Over cashed in the first meeting with Morehead State on Jan. 15, a 105-100 OT win in Nashville, and the Over is 5-3 in the past eight meetings in this series. Morehead State covered both meetings, while going 7-1 ATS in the past eight in the series, if you’re looking for a same-game parlay (SGP) opportunity. But, the best bet here is to go Over on the total, even with the pressure and nerves with an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament on the line.

Over 149.5 (-110) at time of publishing. Playable to 150.5.