NC State Wolfpack vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/12/26

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The NC State Wolfpack made quick work of the Pittsburgh Panthers in the second round of the ACC Tournament in Charlotte, winning 98-88 as a -8.5 favorite to advance to the Quarterfinals. Now, the Pack must face their nemesis, the Virginia Cavaliers. The victory and cover by NC State snapped a 4-game loss and non-cover streak. In fact, NC State had lost 6 of the past 7 games, while going 1-8 ATS in the final 9 games of the regular season before taking care of Pitt. The Wolfpack can’t be happy to see the Hoos waiting, however.

Virginia not only won both meetings with NC State this season, but they won by least 15 points in each matchup, with an average margin of victory of 22.0 points per game. While UVA was dusted by Duke, 77-51 at Cameron Indoor Stadium on February 28, the Hoos are 11-1 SU in the past 12 games — although just 2-4 ATS in the past 6 games and 3-10 ATS across the past 13 outings. However, one of those covers was a 29-point victory in Charlottesville. Look for the Cavaliers to get right against a Wolfpack team they’ve handled rather easily in both matchup this season.

NC State vs Virginia best bet: Virginia Cavaliers -5.5 (-120) at time of publishing. Playable to -7.5.