Oklahoma Sooners vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/04/26

Oklahoma’s dreaded stretch of losing continued on Saturday with a 79-69 loss to rival Texas, as the Sooners connected on fewer than 50% of two-point attempts, just 32% of three-point attempts and only 63% of free throws. The loss represented Oklahoma’s 8th in row, now sitting just 1-8 in SEC play after winning their first conference game against Ole Miss. The Sooners hope to break the streak on the road in Lexington against the Kentucky Wildcats, but that won’t be easy, as the ‘Cats are 6-1 in their last 5 games – including wins over Tennessee, Texas and Arkansas. 

While Kentucky is playing much better than Oklahoma of late, I don’t love this spot for the Wildcats. They are off a win over Arkansas, and they have games against Tennessee and Florida on deck. How much motivation is there to win by margin in this game? After all, the Wildcats haven’t exactly been profitable ATS against SEC opponents, covering the spread in just 3 of 9 conference games. As a favorite in conference, Kentucky is just 1-4 ATS. Meanwhile, Oklahoma is desperate for a win in conference. The Sooners might be just 1-8 in SEC play, but they’ve been fairly competitive in a vast majority of those 8 losses. In fact, only 2 of them were by more than 10 points. This number feels inflated given Kentucky’s name recognition, so I lean to taking the points with the underdog. 

Oklahoma vs Kentucky prediction: Oklahoma Sooners +10 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable at number or better. 

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