Providence Friars vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/22/25

The Providence Friars and the Penn State Nittany Lions will travel to Connecticut for a non-conference game on Saturday at Mohegan Sun Arena for the Basketball Hall of Fame Showcase. The spread is currently set at Providence -4, and it should be one of the best games of the day.

Both teams’ offenses have looked good to begin the season. Providence is averaging 96.4 points per game; Penn State is averaging 82.0. The Friars scored 98 points in their last outing against New Hampshire and will look to stay hot in this one. According to KenPom, Penn State’s offense is ranked #24 nationally in effective field-goal percentage, #35 in 2-point percentage and top 100 in both adjusted offensive efficiency and 3-point percentage. Providence’s defense is giving up 86 points per game and has not been good at guarding the 3-point line.

I expect both teams to shoot the ball well from the field and score enough points to drive the total over. The total has gone over in all 5 of Providence’s games this season; I expect that trend to continue. The Friars have struggled to stop opposing teams from scoring and like to play at one of the fastest paces in the country. They are ranked #29 in adjusted tempo and #14 in average offensive possession length, which should result in more points. I’m taking the over.

Providence vs Penn State prediction: Over 160.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 162.

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