San Diego State Aztecs vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/24/25

The San Diego State Aztecs will take on the Michigan Wolverines for a non-conference game on Monday night. This will be game 4 in Mandalay Bay for the Players Era Festival that tips off in Las Vegas earlier in the day. Michigan is the higher-ranked team, but my best bet is San Diego State +6.5. San Diego State lost to Troy in double-overtime in its last game, but I expect a bounce-back performance against Michigan. Since 2018, the Aztecs have covered the spread in 59.2 percent of their games under head coach Brian Dutcher. The spread seems too high for a neutral-site game in a city that San Diego State is very familiar with. The Aztecs play in Las Vegas every year for the Mountain West Tournament and usually play additional non-conference games in Vegas, as well.

San Diego State +6.5 is my play here because Michigan may have issues taking care of the ball. I expect the Wolverines turn it over too much to cover the spread. According to KenPom, the Aztecs’ defense is ranked #11 nationally in turnover percentage while the Wolverines offense is ranked #249. Michigan is averaging 15 turnovers per game through its 4 games and is ranked #303 in the country. San Diego State’s defense should be good enough to make it hard on Michigan’s offense to score and enough to stay within the number. I’m taking San Diego State.

San Diego State vs Michigan prediction: SDSU +6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +5.

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