San Diego State Aztecs vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/14/26

The San Diego State Aztecs and the Utah State Aggies will face off on Saturday evening in Las Vegas for the Mountain West Conference Tournament championship. Utah State is the number one seed and will make the NCAA Tournament even with a loss here, but San Diego State likely needs to win this game to make the big dance. The Aztecs got a massive win over New Mexico last night to knock them out of tournament contention, but another test will await them on Saturday. San Diego State cruised by Utah State in their last matchup and I expect the Aztecs to get it done again.

San Diego State money line is my best bet of this game because they have one of the best defenses in the country and defense travels well in neutral site games. Utah State has been very effective offensively from two-point range, but San Diego State does a great job at defending the paint. Since February 1^st, San Diego State’s defense is ranked #3 nationally in two-point percentage and is ranked as the #29 overall defense in the country at Bart Torvik. They held New Mexico and Colorado State to just 33 percentage from the field in their last two wins in Las Vegas and should be able to flex their muscles defensively again here. The Aztecs have the most Mountain West Tournament titles in the history of the league, and I am backing them to get another one on Saturday. Take San Diego State to win here.

*San Diego State Money Line +101 available at time of publishing. Playable at -1 spread*