St. John's Red Storm vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/25/25

The St. John’s Red Storm and the Baylor Bears will play a non-conference game in Las Vegas on Tuesday. Both teams tipped off Feast Week yesterday with a game inside Michelob Ultra Arena for the Players Era Festival and they will play their second game on Tuesday. St. John’s lost a close one to Iowa State, while Baylor beat Creighton. I expect St. John’s to bounce back from its close loss on Monday and cover the -4.5 spread.

I think the Johnnies will dominate the paint in this matchup against Baylor. The Bears are not great at guarding the paint or defensive rebounding, and St. John’s should be able to take advantage in both of those areas. According to KenPom, St. John’s offense is ranked #26 in offensive rebounding percentage and #67 in 2-point percentage; Baylor’s defense is ranked #217 and #257. Baylor was able to out-rebound Creighton on Monday, but I expect regression against a good rebounding team like St. John’s. The Bears are 4-0 on the season, but I expect them to take their first loss. St. John’s is the more talented team and should come ready to play coming off a loss. I’m taking the Red Storm to cover.

St. John’s vs Baylor prediction: St. John’s -4.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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