Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/14/26

The Texas Longhorns will travel to Columbia on Saturday for an SEC matchup against the Missouri Tigers. This is a “double bubble” game as both teams are in the thick of the NCAA Tournament bubble, and a win here would likely keep them on the right side. Missouri has worked its way back into the projected field with 3 straight wins, but I am still backing Texas to win as the road team. The Longhorns are on a 3-game winning streak, as well, and have won 4 out of their last 5 games.

Texas on the money line is my best bet of the game because I believe its offense will be too much for Missouri’s defense to handle. According to KenPom, Texas’s offense is ranked #10 in adjusted offensive efficiency and Missouri’s defense is ranked just #88. The Longhorns are a great offensive rebounding team, grabbing 37.5 percentage of their misses — and that should be an area Texas dominates. Missouri’s a great offensive rebounding team, as well, but Texas does a great job at defensive rebounding — so I do not see much of an advantage there for the Tigers. Texas gets to the foul line at a high rate and should be able to win the free-throw margin. Let’s back Texas.

Texas vs Missouri prediction: Texas ML (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to -1.

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