Tulsa Golden Hurricanes vs Wichita State Shockers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/14/26

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It’s far from the biggest game on Saturday’s loaded college hoops slate, but arguably the best situational spot on the board comes in the AAC tournament, where we’ll see the Tulsa Golden Hurricane take on the Wichita State Shockers in the second game of the semifinal round. South Florida is the clear top team in this league, but Wichita State has been a pleasant surprise, finishing with a 13-5 record in the American and closing the season on a 6-game winning streak to secure the #2 seed in this tournament. The Shockers have beaten this Tulsa team recently, and they even have a win over South Florida on the road back in January, one of only 2 games that the Bulls have lost at home all season. On the other side, while Tulsa is in the midst of an excellent 25-6 season, the Golden Hurricane are operating at a significant disadvantage in this game — and it stems from a game they just played.

While Wichita State had a bye to the semifinals in this tournament, Tulsa played its first game against North Texas on Friday, and it resulted in a triple overtime thriller with plenty of back-and-forth action. These 3 extra periods resulted in the key players on the Golden Hurricane logging major minutes, with multiple starters even clearing 50 minutes played in what was a slugfest from start to finish. Now, Tulsa will have to play a fresh and rested Shockers team less than 24 hours after winning such an emotionally and physically taxing game. With that in mind, it wouldn’t be shocking if this Tulsa team ran out of gas at some point in the second half, especially since the Golden Hurricane have a real challenge on their hands against one of the better defenses in this conference. These teams have been basically identical over the last month, so I will back the Shockers in as good of a situational spot as we’ll see this weekend.

Tulsa vs Wichita State prediction: Wichita State ML (+105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -105.