Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/14/26

The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Florida Gators will meet in Nashville on Saturday for the semifinals of SEC Tournament. Vanderbilt is coming off a nice win against in-state rival Tennessee and should have a nice home crowd in this one too. They are having an historic season but will be have a tough task against the Florida Gators. Florida has won 12 straight games and are playing better than any team in the country. I am going to ride the hot hand and back Florida to cover the spread here.

Florida -8 is my best bet here because they are one of the biggest teams in college basketball and should dominate the paint. I expect the Gators to win the rebound battle and impose their will on the Commodores. According to KenPom, Florida is ranked #2 nationally in offensive rebound percentage while Vanderbilt’s defense is ranked #210. Florida is the much bigger team as they are ranked #12 in average height and Vanderbilt is ranked #208. Florida’s big men should be too much for Vanderbilt here, so take Florida to cover.

*Florida -8 available at time of publishing. Playable at -10*