Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/28/26

One of the bigger games in the SEC on Saturday’s slate comes in the form of a rematch between the Vanderbilt Commodores and Kentucky Wildcats in Lexington. Vanderbilt emphatically dispatched the Wildcats in the first meeting between these teams back on January 27, and while the natural inclination is to back Kentucky at home in a revenge spot following that 25-point loss, I’m actually going to go back to the well with the Commodores to sweep the season series on Saturday.

The Wildcats were a team that appeared to be playing much better earlier this month, but — upon further review — they were pretty fortunate to rally from a double-digit deficit to beat Tennessee at home, before dropping games to Georgia, Florida and Auburn in succession. Yes, Kentucky did bounce back with a victory at South Carolina earlier this week, but Mark Pope’s team is not one that matches up well with what Vanderbilt brings to the table. In the previous meeting, we saw that the Commodores owned the glass, dominated in transition and easily outpaced Kentucky from beyond the 3-point arc. While the Wildcats should be able to shoot a bit better at home, this Kentucky offense is still wildly frustrating and clearly suffers from not having enough primary shot creators. The ‘Cats are also susceptible to turning the ball over, which we saw plenty of times in the first meeting. It wouldn’t shock me at all if this mistake-prone Kentucky team struggled with Vanderbilt’s ball-pressure, and the Commodores should be able to turn those mistakes into easy points in transition once again. With Vanderbilt clearly in a much better position from a health perspective compared to a few weeks ago, let’s roll with the Commodores in this one.

Vanderbilt vs Kentucky prediction: Vanderbilt ML (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -120. 

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