VCU Rams vs Saint Louis Billikens Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/20/26

The Saint Louis Billikens suffered their second loss of the season on Tuesday when they fell short at Rhode Island 81-76. It was one of their worst offensive performances of the year, scoring just 1.02 points per possession while shooting less than 50% inside the arc and turning the ball over 18 times. Meanwhile, the Rams made 12-of-29 threes and 23-of-27 free-throws in the win. 

SLU will go from one Ram to another on Friday when it returns home to host a revenge-minded VCU team that it beat by 9 in Richmond earlier this year despite a bad offensive showing. The Bills scored only 0.92 points per possession in that one, which grades as their worst offensive performance of the year. That being said, it was in line with their best defensive showing of the year, as the Rams were held to 0.81 points per possession at home — shooting just 31% from two-point range and 25% from beyond the arc. 

VCU has played well on the road this year, but it’s hard to trust the Rams in this spot after they let the Bills escape from Richmond with a 9-point win despite such a horrendous offensive outing. Now, the Rams head to Chaifetz Arena, where SLU is a completely different beast. At 15-0, they are perfect in their building, while boasting the most efficient home offense and 6th-most efficient home defense in the country. That success includes 63% shooting from two-point range and over 42% from beyond the arc, while holding opponents to 43% and 27.8%, respectively. Playing at home against conference opponents, their efficiency numbers are even better, and the betting results reflect that – as the Billikens are 11-4 ATS at home with a +6.1 cover margin. With SLU off a loss and a poor offensive showing in the first meeting, combined with VCU being in the midst of the nation’s eighth-longest active win streak, this line offers a bit of a buy-low spot. I’m going to take the bait given SLU’s dominance at home. For what it’s worth, VCU is 0-4 in Quad 1 games and 1-2 ATS as an underdog.

VCU vs Saint Louis prediction: Billikens -7.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -8.5. 

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