Wright State Raiders vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Friday, 03/20/26

The Wright State Raiders held off the Detroit Mercy Titans in the Horizon League final to advance to the NCAA Tournament. Wright State has won five in a row, while covering four of those outings, and the Raiders are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) across the previous eight contests. Wright State has posted a 7-2 ATS mark in nine games this season as an underdog, winning three of those games outright. Wright State suffered a 77-67 loss at Cal on Nov. 6 as a 14.5-point underdog in its only game of the season against an ACC opponent.

As for Virginia, it finished the season ranked inside the Top 10, and it likely fell off the 2-line to the 3-line with its loss to Duke in the ACC Tournament final. But, the Cavaliers are 3-0 ATS in the past three games. However, the Cavaliers finished the regular season just 2-7 ATS in the final nine games, and 3-10 ATS across the final 13 regular-season contests. This is a high-octane offense, unlike Virginia teams we’ve seen in the past. However, Wright State is a strong offense with decent perimeter shooting, and the Raiders have the ability to keep it within 20 points.

Wright State vs Virginia prediction: Wright State +18.5 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable to +17.5.