Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 09/13/25

The Utah State Aggies welcome the Air Force Falcons to Maverik Stadium in Logan for this Mountain West Conference battle. The winning side in 9 of the past 10 games has amassed at least 31 points, with the over cashing in each of the past 3 meetings and 5 of the past 7 in the series. In the past 3 meetings since Sept. 18, 2021, we have seen an average of 71.7 points per game (PPG). Utah State’s offense has been playing well, averaging 25.0 PPG through 2 games against UTEP and Texas A&M, and it allowed 44 points last week in a 44-22 loss to the Aggies.

We’ve only seen Air Force once so far, as the Falcons pounded Bucknell of the FCS 49-13 at Colorado Springs, nearly taking care of the over (54.5) on their own. The first touchdown of the season was a 40-yard touchdown pass from QB Josh Johnson, who also had a 62-yard scoring pass. Is that what we can expect from the Falcons, or was it simply because they were facing an overwhelmed opponent? We could get a little more variety from Troy Calhoun’s team in 2025. Whenever these teams get together, especially lately, a lot of points are sure to follow.

Air Force vs Utah State prediction: Over 51 (-110) at time of publishing. Playable to 52.5.

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