Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 09/27/25

The Appalachian State Mountaineers hit the road for their second true road game of the season and third game away from home when they travel out west to the Rocky Mountains to play on the blue turf against the Boise State Broncos. App State enters this contest following a bye, but prior to their week off, the Mountaineers suffered a 38-22 loss on the road at Southern Miss despite outgaining the Golden Eagles by 81 yards and controlling the ball for over 14 more minutes of game time. Meanwhile, Boise returns home for its second home game of the year after beating Air Force 49-37 on the road last week. 

App State is catching a ton of points, which is very enticing considering the situational advantage the Mountaineers have on paper ahead of this matchup. Not only do they have a rest advantage, but they catch Boise at a great time given the potential lookahead spot to next week’s road trip to South Bend to play Notre Dame. However, the off-the-field factors only matter so much. 

Boise State has been absolutely clicking since its poor Week 1 showing at South Florida, accumulating over 1,200 yards of total offense with 100 combined points over its last two games. This unit should have an edge against App State’s defense. The Mountaineers haven’t played anyone near the offensive ability of the Broncos to this point of the season, so I’m not sold on the bye week or the Boise lookahead spot being much help – especially considering they are still outside the top 60 in yards per play allowed in against their FBS opponents and 75th in defensive PPA outside of garbage time despite their soft schedule. I power rate Boise closer to an 18-point favorite, so I lean to the Broncos cruising at home on Saturday night.

Appalachian State vs Boise State prediction: Boise State Broncos -16 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to 17 (-110)

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