Baylor Bears vs Iowa State Cyclones predictions

Baylor Bears
Jack Trice StadiumESPN2
Baylor
2-1
Baylor
Yesterday
Iowa State
3-0
Iowa State
Iowa State Cyclones

Resident Expert Predictions

Baylor Bears
Money Line Pick
Baylor Win

FD No Sweat First Bet

The #17 Baylor Bears travel to Ames, Iowa, on Saturday for an early afternoon tilt with the Iowa State Cyclones. The Cyclones opened the week as a -2.5 favorite. There are a couple of reasons for this line. One reason is that Iowa State is a difficult place to play. While we do not think of Iowa State as a traditional football power, their fans turn out in force, and nearly every road team finds it difficult to escape with a win. The other reason is that Baylor recently struggled in a difficult road venue at BYU. When you figure that home-field advantage is usually worth a field goal to oddsmakers, this line says that these two teams are more or less even.

Baylor has struggled in the early part of the season to get their passing game going, but the Bears are running the ball effectively behind a veteran offensive line. The passing game lacks playmakers on the outside, but the Bears have started finding other ways to keep their playbook balanced. On the defensive side, the Baylor defense is still one of the better defenses in the conference, but they have failed to force as many turnovers as they did last season. Iowa State is off to a 3-0 start, and it is not by accident. After losing quarterback Brock Purdy and tailback Breece Hall to the NFL, the Cyclones have turned to new faces with some success already this season. Hunter Dekkers is a strong-armed passer with a star receiver to throw to in Xavier Hutchinson, and running back Jirehl Brock has been over 100 yards twice already this fall. The calling card of this team, though, is still the defense.

Iowa State is young but talented. They have every reason to be confident heading into this game at home. Baylor, the more veteran team, has already been tested on the road this season and should come in prepared. While Iowa State is an emerging team that will give people fits this season in the Big 12, I think Baylor is still the more complete team at this point in the year. I think Baylor wins this game in a close one. I am playing the money line, but you can take the points if it feels safer.

Baylor ML (+120) available at time of publishing; playable to -2.5 against the spread

Iowa State Cyclones
Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$21.50
Sportsbook
Payout
Place Bet
$21.50
$22.20
$22.50
$21.80
$21.20
$22.00

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Baylor Bears
Game Totals Pick
Over 46.0

This is a very uncomfortable number. On the one hand, this is a Big 12 game, the conference where the ball flies around and the defense doesn’t matter. On the other hand, both of these teams have already played tough games at or below this number. Baylor lost to BYU in overtime, 26-20, and Iowa State earned a hard-fought 10-7 win against Iowa. Both of these teams love their defenses and rely heavily upon them, and there is every reason to believe that this can be a 20-17 type of game with both teams playing conservatively.

Still, 46 is just too low of a number for me to recommend it. While both of these teams rely on their defense, it is not like the offenses are incompetent. Baylor struggled for one half against BYU but has otherwise moved the ball effectively through three games. Iowa State struggled against Iowa, but Iowa makes everyone play ugly. Otherwise, the Cyclones have been good offensively so far. These two teams are plenty capable of putting up a combined 46 points.
I’m not suggesting these teams will push the game into the 40s, but a 27-23 kind of game seems more like it. Here’s hoping this one doesn’t turn into a punting contest.

Over 46 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number

Iowa State Cyclones
Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$19.09

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Photo of Chad Hartsock

Chad Hartsock

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A teacher and minister by training, a fantasy sports enthusiast and sports bettor by hobby. I live in the Great Smoky Mountains, and I especially love NCAAF, NFL, NCAAB and MLB.

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