Clemson Tigers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 09/13/25

The Clemson Tigers dropped their opening game at home in primetime against LSU, accumulating just 261 yards and averaging a paltry 1.6 yards per rush attempt. Things didn’t get much better in Week 2 against Troy, as Clemson faced a 16-3 deficit at halftime. The Tigers ended up winning 27-16, but they totaled only 316 yards and still averaged fewer than 4 yards per rush attempt. Even without wide receiver Antonio Williams, who was out for both games due to a hamstring issue, you expect those offensive numbers to be better against Troy.

The Yellow Jackets clawed their way to victory at Colorado in Week 1 after they turned the ball over on their opening 3 possessions. When they weren’t turning the ball over, the Jackets looked good, racking up 6.8 yards per rush attempt and more than 460 total yards of offense. They carried that momentum forward to Week 2 and took care of business against FCS Gardner-Webb despite quarterback Haynes King missing the contest. King looked beat up at the end of the Colorado game, so I’m not surprised the coaching staff held him out of the FCS game. However, I expect him to play in this game, especially considering the line movement we’ve seen early in the week. Money has poured in on GT, dropping the line from 6 – where it briefly sat after opening – all the way to where it is now around 3.5 points. I don’t believe the line would have moved that much if there was any doubt about King’s availability. 

Williams returning to the field would be a big boost for Clemson’s offense, though I am alarmed by what we’ve seen from the Tigers to this point. Through 2 games, the Tigers are 79th in yards per play and 119th in PPA per play, which is a far cry from what we expected from them this season. Moreover, they’ve had very little success running the ball – even against an inferior opponent in Troy – which does not bode well for the Tigers in a true road game to open conference play. For reference, the Tigers are outside the top 100 in PPA per rush and rushing explosiveness through 2 games. 

Expecting Georgia Tech to have a more successful ground game, the Jackets should be able to string together multiple methodical drives and limit Clemson’s time of possession. I power rate this game around 2 points, so I still perceive there to be value on Georgia Tech at this current price and will take the points with the Jackets. Don’t be afraid to sprinkle on the ML, as it wouldn’t surprise me to see an outright Georgia Tech win.

Clemson vs Georgia Tech prediction: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +3.5 (-110) available at publishing. Playable to 2

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The market disagrees on this total. You can find 53.5 at some books, while others are hanging 54.5s juiced to the under. That’s the way I lean in this contest, as I expect the Yellow Jackets and the Tigers to have a methodical offensive approach.

Georgia Tech has consistently deployed a run-heavy gameplan in recent years, and I don’t expect that to change this week. In fact, I expect the Jackets to lean into that approach in an attempt to shorten the game and limit Clemson’s possessions. A lot was made of the returning talent in Clemson’s defensive front, but the Tigers have not lived up to the hype just yet – as they are outside the top 50 in PPA per rush, rush success rate, and rush explosiveness through 2 games. These struggles should put Georgia Tech in manageable third down situations, where the Yellow Jackets can open the playbook and extend drives while simultaneously eating clock. 

Meanwhile, Clemson’s offense is in shambles and rates near the bottom of the country in PPA and success rate through 2 games. The Tigers will eventually wake up, but I can’t bring myself to bet an over in any Clemson game until we see the Tigers perform better offensively, so I lean to the under in this ACC showdown.

Clemson vs Georgia Tech prediction: Under 54.5 (-115) at the time of publishing. Playable to 54.

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