Georgia Bulldogs vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tomorrow, 09/13/25

One of the biggest games on the Week 3 college football slate comes in Knoxville, Tennessee, where the Georgia Bulldogs will take on the Tennessee Volunteers in a pivotal SEC clash on Saturday. This series has been dominated by Georgia in the Kirby Smart era, and while these teams are trending in different directions heading into this matchup on paper, I’m very confident in backing the Bulldogs to maintain control of this rivalry and pick up a win and cover in Rocky Top.

There are some justifiable concerns to be had for Georgia on the surface. After all, the Bulldogs offense has looked fairly mediocre over the first two games of the campaign. New quarterback Gunner Stockton is not pushing the ball downfield all that much and the offensive line is still a question mark given all of the pieces they are rotating at different positions. However, Georgia playing it very safe and keeping things vanilla against inferior opponents in nonconference play is nothing new for Smart, and I have a feeling that this Bulldogs staff will have a much stronger offensive gameplan in store against an untested Tennessee defense.

As for the Georgia defense, it’s abundantly clear that the Bulldogs aren’t anywhere near as dominant as what we’ve seen from them in seasons past. However, this is a unit that still ranks inside the top 20 in most of the meaningful advanced metrics, including success rate allowed, net points per drive, EPA margin and third and 4th down success rate allowed. Conversely, the Tennessee offense has historically struggled when facing this Georgia defense in the Smart era, and while new quarterback Joe Aguilar has looked very solid thus far, this is an entirely new test for the former Appalachian State gunslinger that has shown a propensity to turn the ball over in his 3 seasons as a starter.

Ultimately, I fully expect the Bulldogs to bounce back after a pretty mediocre showing against Austin Peay in a game that shouldn’t matter all that much considering the obvious look-ahead spot at hand. Georgia is still the top dog in this conference and the dominant team in this series, and I’ll make Tennessee prove it to me before I change my tune.

Georgia vs Tennessee prediction: Georgia -3.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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This has been a series defined by early offense, before both defenses settle in and keep points to a minimum after halftime. I see no reason to fade that trend in this spot, especially since these are 2 of the 15-20 best units in the sport by nearly every metric. I have questions with both of these offenses, as there is major quarterback uncertainty in this game on both sides. I’m also not sold on the ground attack for either group, with Tennessee’s offense struggling on early downs to this point while Georgia is still working out some key offensive line issues. Lastly, both Smart and Tennessee head coach Josh Heupel should be expected to keep things close to their chest early on and avoid taking any big risks on offense, especially given the magnitude of this game. Let’s back the Under while it’s still over a couple of key numbers in this price range.

Under 50.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 50.