Miami (OH) Redhawks vs Buffalo Bulls Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/19/25

Midweek MACtion rolls right along on Wednesday of Week 13. With just 1 team at 5-1 in conference and 5 teams at 4-2, the MAC race feels wide open. Wednesday’s matchup between the Miami RedHawks and the Buffalo Bulls will go a long way to decide who plays for a MAC title given both teams are among the gaggle of 4-2 teams. However, that somehow may not even be the biggest headline coming into this game, as Miami QB Dequan Finn decided to leave the program in the middle of a conference title race. 

Points may be hard to come by in this matchup, especially for the RedHawks. Taking over for Finn will be Henry Hesson, who simply hasn’t proven to be much of an asset at the quarterback position in his limited time under center. He was given the start last week against Finn’s former team and proceeded to complete just 28.9% of his passes for 147 yards, 0 touchdowns, 3 interceptions, and 4 turnover-worthy plays. Prior to that, he completed just 44.4% of his 18 pass attempts against UNLV, though he was able to have some success against FCS Lindenwood.

Without much of a passing attack, Miami figures to be fairly one-dimensional offensively. The RedHawks will likely keep the ball on the ground for a majority of the game, which plays right into the strength of Buffalo’s defense. The Bulls yield fewer than 3.5 yards per attempt this season and rank 8th in PPA per rush outside of garbage time since Week 8. They also rank top-25 in standard downs PPA and 10th in points per quality drive allowed in that span. 

On the other side of the ball, Buffalo has started to fall-off offensively, ranking outside the top 125 in PPA per play and points per quality drive. The Bulls haven’t been able to establish a ground game, so it’s hard to trust them to march up and down the field against a solid Miami defense that held arguably the 2 best MAC quarterbacks in check over the last 2 weeks. Buffalo QB Ta’Quan Roberson is a walking turnover, so don’t be surprised if the RedHawks continue to generate havoc in this matchup. 

Frankly, unless you’re someone that absolutely loves ugly football, this game may be tough to watch. I’ll lean to the under here without much conviction, as it wouldn’t surprise me if a special teams or defensive touchdown pushed this game over the total.

Miami (OH) vs Buffalo prediction: Under 40.5 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to 39. 

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