Navy Midshipmen vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 11/01/25

One of the most consequential games of the weekend in terms of conference title and College Football Playoff implications comes in the American, where the North Texas Mean Green are set to host the Navy Midshipmen in a massive clash in the Group of 5. Both teams have combined for a record of 14-1 to this point, and these are a couple of offenses that are absolutely humming at the moment. With that in mind, while I lean toward backing North Texas as the side in this game, I’m much more enthused about taking the over on Saturday.

Both teams approach offense in very different ways, but each team has been very successful in scoring plenty of points on any and all opponents this season. Navy’s offense is a unique look and it has successfully flummoxed opponents all season long, to the tune of over 37 points per game to this point. We can expect that success to continue for Drew Cronic’s unit against a North Texas defense that ranks 90th in success rate allowed, 106th in rushing success rate allowed and 111th in points allowed per quality drive (CFB-Graphs). On the other side, the Navy defense is certainly not the strength of the team, and the Midshipmen will have a difficult task on their hands against Drew Mestemaker (21 touchdowns to just 4 interceptions this season) and a Mean Green offense that is a top 15 unit in success rate, early downs EPA and points per drive. This should be a shootout with both teams scoring 30+ points in a game that could come down to the wire. The over is the only way I can look in this massive matchup.

Navy vs North Texas prediction: Over 65 available at time of publishing. Playable to 65.5

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