Nevada Wolfpack vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/18/25

The Nevada Wolf Pack heads to The ABQ looking to get on track and keep its very faint bowl hopes alive. There is not much margin for error for Nevada down the stretch, and it hasn’t really show much sign of a turnaround. UNR has dropped 4 in a row, while going 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games. However, UNM laying double digits isn’t terribly attractive here. Nevada has scored 20 or fewer points in all 6 games this season, and it is averaging just 13.4 points per game in 5 games against FBS opponents. Defensively, the Pack has allowed 31 or more points in 2 of the past 3 games, and that’s the concern with playing the under.

However, New Mexico’s strength is running the ball, led by the 2-headed monster of Scottre Humphrey and Damon Bankston. Running the ball keeps the clock moving, too, and that’s what under bettors like to see. The over has cashed in the past 3 games, but that’s because the defense has allowed 38.0 PPG in the past 2 games against Boise State and San Jose State. Nevada won’t sniff that kind of production, as it hasn’t shown any coherent game plan on offense all season.

Nevada vs New Mexico prediction: Under 48.5 (-110) at time of publishing. Playable to 47.5.

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