New Mexico Lobos vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction, Odds and Picks for Friday, 10/03/25
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New Mexico vs San Jose State Pickswise Expert Predictions
The New Mexico Lobos hit the road for San Jose State for the Mountain West opener, and the Lobos are brimming with confidence. UNM has won three straight games, and it is a healthy 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in four games this season. The last time it was in the state of California, New Mexico routed UCLA 35-10 in a game which ended up being the last straw for Deshaun Foster as head coach for the Bruins. There is no shame losing to the Lobos, though, as this team is playing well. It’s lone loss was a 34-17 setback at Michigan, covering a 34.5-point number. UNM has a balanced attack, posting 174.0 rushing yards, and 217.0 passing yards per game.
San Jose State is 6-0 ATS in the past six meetings since Dec. 23, 2006, including a 52-24 rout in Albuquerque in the last meeting Oct. 14, 2023. But, Ken Niumatalolo’s team is just 1-3 SU this season, and 0-2 ATS at home, including a 16-14 setback to lowly Central Michigan in the opener Aug. 29. San Jose State has allowed 28 or more points in three in a row to Texas, FCS Idaho and Stanford. The Longhorns game is excusable, but the Spartans D was ugly in the past two games. New Mexico is an underrated team with no amazing parts, but also no glaring weaknesses. Take UNM to get the job done as slight underdogs.
New Mexico ML (+115) at time of publishing. Playable to +105.
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