New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tomorrow, 10/14/25

In Tuesday action from Conference USA, the New Mexico State Aggies meet the Liberty Flames at Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, Virginia. Two seasons ago, these teams not only met in the regular season, but they also met in the Conference USA Championship Game. Liberty has won three in a row, and six of the past seven meetings, although the Aggies and Flames have split 2-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past four in the series. Last season in Las Cruces, NMSU kept it close, falling 30-24 as a 22-point underdog.

New Mexico State roughed up Sam Houston last Saturday, winning 37-10 as a 2-point underdog, and it is not only 2-2 ATS this season as an underdog, but it has won two of those games outright. Liberty is not quite the dominant team we’ve seen in the past. In fact, with a 19-8 win at UTEP last time out last Wednesday, the Flames snapped a four-game losing streak. And, while Liberty has covered the past two games, it is 2-4 ATS this season, while going 1-3 ATS as a favorite this season. And, if you’re a same-game parlay (SGP) bettors, in addition to taking the Aggies with the points, consider the Under. The total has gone low in four in a row for the Flames, and 5-1 in six games this season.

New Mexico State +10.5 (-105) at time of publishing. Playable to +9.5.