Ole Miss Rebels vs Georgia Bulldogs Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/18/25

The Ole Miss Rebels will hit the road for the first time since Week 2 – this time as an undefeated top-5 team – when they travel to Athens to play the Georgia Bulldogs at Sanford Stadium at 3:30PM ET on Saturday afternoon. Though, things got dicey for the Rebels last week when they hosted Washington State. Catching as many as 32 points, the Cougars had a 14-10 lead at the halfway point of the third quarter before the Rebels went on a 14-7 run to end the game – narrowly escaping with a 3-point win despite the massive line. 

Georgia returns home after a controversial win at Auburn in which they outgained the Tigers 296-277. The Bulldogs seem to have turned up the heat defensively since their loss to Alabama, but it’s tough to say for sure due to how limited Kentucky and Auburn have been offensively at various points this season. Ole Miss’ offense is more like Tennessee and Alabama’s than it is Kentucky and Auburn’s, which isn’t necessarily the best omen for Georgia considering the ‘Dawgs surrendered almost 900 yards to the Vols and Tide combined. 

This is not the Georgia defense of old. At least, it hasn’t been to this point of the season. The Bulldogs are 97th in third-down conversion rate allowed, and over the last 5 weeks, they are 76th in PPA per play allowed and just 94th in havoc generated. In fact, Georgia is 106th in tackles for loss and 112th in sacks in FBS games. This should be music to Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss’ ears, as he is unlikely to face a ton of pressure in his first road start at the Division 1 level. Since taking over as the Rebels signal-caller, Chambliss has thrown 6 touchdowns in 4 games with 8 big-time throws and just 2 turnover-worthy plays. Both of those turnover-worthy plays were against Washington State last week, which was a game the Rebels were clearly looking past – likely to this game in Athens. 

If Georgia isn’t going to get pressure on Chambliss, I expect Chambliss and the Rebels to move the ball methodically and score enough to finish inside the number – as the backend of Georgia’s defense has been suspect lately. Since Week 3, the ‘Dawgs are outside the top-80 in passing downs PPA and outside the top-105 in PPA per pass. Moreover, they surrendered points nearly every time Tennessee or Alabama crossed into scoring range (over the 40-yard line). Don’t get me wrong, I have plenty of questions about Ole Miss and its run defense in this matchup, but 7.5 is too many points. I have this more around 6, so I’ll take the points with the fighting Lane Kiffins here.

Ole Miss vs Georgia prediction: Ole Miss Rebels +8.5 (-115) at the time of publishing. Playable to +7.

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Georgia hasn’t played many teams that run an uptempo offense like Ole Miss. The only team the Bulldogs have played that runs a similar pace to that of Ole Miss is Tennessee, and in that overtime game, there were nearly 1,000 yards combined and 85 total points – 76 of which were in regulation. The Vols were able to stretch the ball down the field at-will against Georgia’s defense, and while some of that is due to the insane catches the Tennessee WRs were making against the Bulldogs secondary, the Rebels are equally as equipped to move the ball down the field through the air in chunks. In fact, Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss leads the SEC in completion percentage and yards per attempt on passes of at least 20 yards according to PFF. As such, the Rebels are top 20 in yards per play, PPA per pass and passing downs PPA, along with top-40 in pass explosiveness – a perfect makeup to pick apart this Georgia secondary and find the end zone.

On the other side of the field, Georgia has been balanced offensively and should find some success on the ground against this Ole Miss defensive front. The Rebels rank 110th in PPA per rush allowed since Week 3, which doesn’t bode well for them against Georgia RBs Chauncey Bowens and Nate Frazier. Don’t forget, like Chambliss, Georgia QB Gunner Stockton can create with his legs as well as his arm, accumulating 220 rushing yards with 6 scores on the ground to this point. 

All things considered, Ole Miss’s tempo should create a couple extra possessions in this contest. Expecting both teams to be able to move the ball for a majority of his game, my only look on the total would be to the over. 

Ole Miss vs Georgia prediction: Over 54 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to 54.5.

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